Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 06/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-12

Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles are prepared to battle against the Toronto Blue Jays at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Toronto (getting -110) is favored over Baltimore (+100) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 10.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). There’s a runline of Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) and Orioles +1.5 (-155) for this matchup.

The Orioles are 21-45 straight up (SU) and 28-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.2 units for moneyline bettors and 12.4 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Blue Jays are 23-43 SU and have gone 29-36 ATS. They’ve lost 15.9 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units ATS. Toronto’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 30-32-3 so far in 2019. Toronto has an over/under record of 29-34-2.

Right-hander Edwin Jackson is the projected starter for the visiting Blue Jays. Jackson is 0-4 with an 11.90 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Orioles are handing the ball to righty David Hess (1-8, 7.08 ERA), who has 50 strikeouts and 23 walks as well as a 1.51 WHIP. Hess is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.37, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 5.61 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 28 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 4.92 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.80.

The Baltimore offense has put up 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .225/.284/.355 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led the Orioles’ batters this year. Mancini is slashing .298/.352/.536 with 13 home runs, 32 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Villar is batting .256 with seven homers, 26 RBIs, 37 runs and 12 steals.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.03 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.49 and a K-per-9 of 9.44.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .218/.285/.376 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Toronto’s offensive production has been led by Randal Grichuk and Freddy Galvis, who collectively have blasted 21 home runs. Grichuk is slashing .226/.285/.419 with 12 home runs, 26 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Galvis (.241/.276/.409) has produced nine homers, 25 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have lost 19.5 units and are 18-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 8.2 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve gone under.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

Toronto has logged 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has 14 XBH over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 15 over their last 10.

The Blue Jays have a team OPS of .661 this season and an OPS of .663 against right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .701 overall and .693 against righties.

The Toronto defense has permitted three errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for Baltimore over its last 10.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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