Last Updated: 2019-04-15
Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins are playing host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Target Field. Fox Sports North will be televising this AL showdown and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET.
Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins Odds
Vegas has listed Toronto (+115) as the underdog to Minnesota (-125). If you think the game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, Vegas is currently offering -105 odds. Playing the over will give you -115 odds. This game currently has a runline of Blue Jays +1.5 (-180) and Twins -1.5 (+160).
The Twins are 8-4 straight up (SU) and 6-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.9 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 5-11 SU this year and are 7-8 against the spread. They’ve lost 5.3 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 0.2 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Minnesota games have had an over/under record of 6-5 so far in 2019. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 5-10.
Matt Shoemaker will get the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Shoemaker is 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Twins will be sending lefty Martin Perez (1-0, 7.56 ERA) to the mound. Perez has 12 punchouts and nine walks to his name as well as a 2.40 WHIP. Perez only made one start against the Blue Jays in 2018 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and two strikeouts across four innings).
Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.00 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.60 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Minnesota offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 6.2 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .304/.350/.561 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Max Kepler. Polanco is slashing .383/.423/.702 with 18 hits, four RBIs and six runs scored, and Kepler is hitting .269 with 14 hits, eight RBIs and six runs.
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.72 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.47 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.35, along with a WHIP of 1.23.
Blue Jays hitters have slashed .203/.284/.347 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk have led Toronto’s hitters. Galvis is slashing .351/.383/.684 with five home runs, 11 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Grichuk is hitting .193/.270/.421 with three homers, six RBIs and 10 runs scored.
The Blue Jays have gained 3.6 units and are 3-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 4.7 units and are 6-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to five that’ve cashed the under.
Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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The over has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
The Blue Jays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
The Blue Jays have a team OPS of .631 this season and an OPS of .538 against left-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS sits at .835 overall and .966 against lefties.
Toronto fielders have committed eight errors over the last five outin, compared to only two errors for Minnesota over its last five.