Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros Free Pick 06/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-14

The Toronto Blue Jays are making a road trip to Houston to play the Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest will televise this AL showdown and the action gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros Odds

Houston (-235) is the favorite over Toronto (+215) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -105 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -115 for the Astros -1.5.

The Astros are 46-23 straight up (SU) and 38-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 25-43 SU this year and are 30-37 ATS. They’re down 16.1 units for moneyline bettors and 13.4 units ATS. Toronto’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Astros games have a 30-38-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 30-35-2.

Aaron Sanchez will get the nod for Toronto. The right-handed Sanchez (3-7, 4.25 ERA) has racked up 61 strikeouts in 72 innings so far. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Astros are handing the ball to righty Gerrit Cole (5-5, 3.72 ERA), who has 130 strikeouts and 20 walks, along with a 1.00 WHIP. Cole did not record a start against the Blue Jays in 2018.

Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.95 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.54 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.11, along with a K-per-9 of 9.45.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .222/.290/.383 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk continue to lead Toronto’s hitters. Galvis is hitting .238/.277/.404 with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Grichuk (.221/.280/.411) has produced 12 homers, 26 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

For the home team, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.56 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.45 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

The Houston offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .186/.286/.343 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielders Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick have led the Astros’ batters this year. Brantley is slashing .316/.371/.516 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Reddick’s line is .297/.336/.437 with seven homers, 23 RBIs and 28 runs.

The Blue Jays have lost 18.5 units and are 19-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 1.7 units and are 26-23 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 25 that went under.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

Toronto has recorded 17 extra-base hits over its last five games. Houston has 12 XBH over its last five.

Toronto has posted 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.8 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 13 over their last 10.

The Blue Jays have a total OPS of .673 this season and an OPS of .674 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS sits at .814 overall and .796 against righties.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

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