NHL – Trends of the Day 04/19/2019

Date | AuthorAdmir Aljic

Last Updated: 2019-04-19

NHL – TRENDS OF THE DAY

With two series already completed in the Stanley Cup playoffs that means that there are only two games scheduled for Friday night. That includes the Calgary Flames returning home hoping to stave off elimination when they take on the Colorado Avalanche as well as the Boston Bruins hosting the Toronto Maple Leafs in a series that is tied 2-2.

Lines provided by BetDSI Sportsbook. Get the trends for all National Hockey League Games here.

Featured Games

  • Toronto Maple Leafs (+130) vs. Boston Bruins (-144)

The Boston Bruins needed a victory to even their series against the Toronto Maple Leafs and got their wish thanks to two goals by David Pastrnak on their way to a 6-4 victory. Brad Marchand added a goal and two assists as Boston broke a 2-2 tie with three unanswered goals.

Goaltending Matchup:

Frederik Andersen will be in goal for Toronto. He gave up five goals on 30 shots in his last start and has been quite inconsistent in the series. In the two victories for Toronto, he has allowed a combined total of three goals while allowing nine total in the two losses. Andersen finished the regular season 36-16-5 with a 2.77 goals-against average.

Tuukka Rask Has been a little more steady for Boston. He has allowed at least three goals in three of the four contests in the series but has allowed one less goal than Andersen overall. Rask finished the regular season 27-13-4 with a 2.4 a goals-against average.

Trends to Watch:

The Toronto Maple Leafs are…

  • 2-5 in their last seven games on the road.
  • 2-5 in their last seven games.
  • 3-7 in their last 10 conference quarterfinals games.

The Boston Bruins are…

  • 22-10 in their last 32 games.
  • 2-4 in their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • 52-21 in their last 73 games at home.

Stat Pack:

Maple Leafs:
Goals For: 3.49
Goals Against: 3.04
Power-Play: 21.8%
Penalty Killing: 79.9%

Bruins:
Goals For: 3.13
Goals Against: 2.59
Power-Play: 25.9%
Penalty Killing: 79.9%

Prediction

The Boston Bruins have never lead in the series, as Toronto won Games 1 and 3. This is the chance for the Bruins to maintain home ice advantage, something it looks like they are going to need if they are going to win this series. The Toronto Maple Leafs have shown that they can dominate the Bruins, but not in this game, however.

The total is set at 6.0 for this contest, and the total has gone under in each of the first three games to the series, but not in Game 4. The total was five through each of the first three games but jumped to a total of 10 in Game 4. Maybe Boston discovered something about Andersen, but we call that a fluke. Take the Boston Bruins to win 3-2.

  • Colorado Avalanche (+155) vs. Calgary Flames (-175)

The Calgary Flames finished with the top record in the Western Conference, but now they find themselves facing the same plight as the No. 1 team in the East, the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Colorado Avalanche took a 3-1 lead in this series thanks to a 3-2 overtime victory in Game 4. The Flames jumped out to a 2-0 lead with 13 minutes left in the contest and looked like they were about to roll onto tying the series heading home to Calgary. However, J.T. Compher’s goal a little over eight minutes into the third and Mikko Rantanen’s second goal of the series with a little less than three minutes left in the contest tied the score, forcing overtime. At the 10:23 mark, Rantanen would add his second goal of the game to give Colorado the victory.

Goaltending Matchup:

Philipp Grubauer has been the man of the hour in this series, allowing two goals in each of the last three games, all Colorado victories. He has allowed nine total goals in the series and has posted a save percentage of at least .931 in each of the last three games. Grubauer finished the regular season 18-9-4 with a 2.64 goals-against average.

After shutting out the Avalanche in Game 1, Mike Smith has struggled. He has allowed 12 total goals over the last three games, but can’t be faulted by the fact that he has faced 108 total shots in the last two games. Smith finished the regular season 23-16-0 with a 2.72 goals-against average.

Trends to Watch:

The Colorado Avalanche are…

  • 11-4 in their last 15 games.
  • 3-7 in their last 10 conference quarterfinals games.
  • 6-2 in their last eight games against teams from the Pacific.

The Calgary Flames are…

  • 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.
  • 1-5 in their last six games.
  • 1-6 in their last seven games against teams from the Central Division.

Stat Pack:

Avalanche:
Goals For: 3.15
Goals Against: 2.96
Power-Play: 22.0%
Penalty Killing: 78.7%

Flames:
Goals For: 3.29
Goals Against: 2.72
Power-Play: 19.3%
Penalty Killing: 79.7%

Prediction

Calgary has been dominating at home this season and one cannot forget that they have the best record in the Western Conference. However, if they are not going to play better defensively in front of Smith they are not can when this game. Allowing nearly 50 shots per game on average over the last three contests is ridiculous. Colorado is peppering the Calgary goaltender, and that will lead them to win Game 5 and advance to the next round.

The total is set at 6.0 for this contest and the total has gone over in only one game, Game 3 when Colorado one 6-2. Despite being battered Smith has looked solid, and Grubauer has been absolutely dominant.  The Flames are not going to figure him out in this game as Colorado wins 5-2.

*** END OF APRIL 19th NHL TRENDS ***

 

NHL – TRENDS OF THE DAY

There are three games scheduled in the Stanley Cup playoffs on Thursday, April 18, including Game 5 between the St. Louis Blues and the Winnipeg Jets, a series is tied 2-2.  In other action, the Vegas Golden Knights look to knock the San Jose Sharks out of the playoffs and the Carolina Hurricanes look to even their series against the Washington Capitals.

Lines provided by BetDSI Sportsbook. Get the trends for all National Hockey League Games here.

Featured Game

  • Louis Blues (+105) vs. Winnipeg Jets (-125)

This has been an interesting series, as the road team has won all four contests. After losing the first two games at home, the Winnipeg Jets rallied in each of the last two contests, winning on Tuesday night 2-1 in overtime. After neither team was able to score through the first two periods, St. Louis would take the lead just 35 seconds into the final frame. Winnipeg would tie the score 7 minutes later, and Kyle Connor won it a little over six minutes into overtime with his third goal of the playoffs.

Goaltending Matchup:

Jordan Binnington will start for St. Louis. He is 2-2 in this series, allowing 12 total goals. Binnington finished the regular season with a 24-5-1 record and a 1.89 goals-against average. The Blues goaltender had won five of his last six starts in the regular season.

Connor Hellebuyck will start for Winnipeg. He is also 2-2 in the playoffs, allowing 10 total goals in the series. After giving up six goals to the first two games Hellebuyck has allowed just four in the last two, including one in the overtime victory. He finished the regular season with a 34-23-3 record and a 2.90 goals-against average

Trends to Watch:

The St. Louis Blues are…

  • 10-4 in their last 14 games.
  • 7-3 in their last 10 conference quarterfinals games.
  • 5-2 in their last seven games against teams with a winning record.

The Winnipeg Jets are…

  • 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • 68-31 in their last 99 games at home.
  • 2-5 in their last seven games against teams with a winning record.

Stat Pack:

Blues:
Goals For: 2.98
Goals Against: 2.68
Power-Play: 21.1%
Penalty Killing: 81.5%

Jets:
Goals For: 3.29
Goals Against: 2.96
Power-Play: 24.8%
Penalty Killing: 79.2%

Prediction

The road team has figured out a way to win in each of the first four contests, but it is hard to believe that Winnipeg would lose a pivotal game like this at home. Binnington looked almost unbeatable through the first two games but has given up eight total goals over the last two. Hellebuyck looked incredible in Game 4, so we look for Winnipeg to jump out to the 3-2 series lead.

The total is set at 5.5. Two of these games have gone over and to have gone under, with the last one going under at 2-1. Despite Binnington’s struggles, the goaltending should be a primary factor in this game. Both are exceptional goaltenders and that should keep this game under. Take the Winnipeg Jets to win 3-2.

Two Games to Watch

  • Washington Capitals (+105) vs. Carolina Hurricanes (-125)

The Washington Capitals lead this series 2-1. After losing the first two games in Washington, the Carolina Hurricanes returned home where they absolutely dominated Game 3, 5-0. Warren Foegale scored the first two goals of the game for Carolina, and added an assist later in the contest. Petr Mrazek was brilliant in net, stopping all 18 shots he faced to record the shutout.

Why Washington Wins:

  • Capitals are 10-1 in their last 11 games on a Thursday.
  • Capitals are 6-1 in their last seven conference quarterfinals games.
  • Hurricanes are 2-5 in their last seven games against a team with a winning record.
  • Capitals are 5-1 in the last six meetings in Carolina.
  • Braden Holtby had won 7 straight games before suffering the loss in Game 3.

Why Carolina Wins:

  • Hurricanes are 5-1 in their last six games at home.
  • Hurricanes are 8-3 in their last 11 conference quarterfinals games.
  • Home team has won five of the last six meetings between these two teams.
  • Braden Holtby gave up five goals in his last start for Washington.
  • Mrazek had a shutout in his last start.

What About the Total?

Go over 6.0, because…

  • Total has gone over in six of the last eight meetings between these two teams in Carolina.
  • Washington has gone over in six of their last eight on the road.
  • Carolina has gone over in four of their last five games when playing on two day’s rest.
  • These two teams have averaged six goals per game in the series.

 

  • Vegas Golden Knights (+100) vs. San Jose Sharks (-120)

The Vegas Golden Knights dominated Game 4, and now lead their series over the San Jose Sharks 3-1 after winning the last three contests. Max Pacioretty gave his team the lead 1:11 into the contest with his third goal of the series. He would add a second goal in the second period to go along with an assist. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 shots to record the shutout.

Why Vegas Wins:

  • Golden Knights are 7-1 in their last eight conference quarterfinals games.
  • Sharks are 3-7 in their last 10 games at home.
  • Sharks are 4-12 in their last 16 games.
  • Golden Knights are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
  • Fleury is coming off of a shutout for Vegas.

Why San Jose Wins:

  • Sharks are 5-2 in their last seven conference quarterfinals games.
  • Golden Knights are 1-5 in their last six games on the road.
  • Golden Knights are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
  • Home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

What About the Total?

Go over 6.0, because…

  • Both games in San Jose in this series went over.
  • Fleury allowed seven total goals in the two games in San Jose.
  • Vegas has gone over in four of their last five games.
  • Vegas has gone over in eight of their last five games on the road.
  • San Jose has gone over in each of their last six games at home.

*** END OF APRIL 18th NHL TRENDS ***

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