Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Rockets versus the RedHawks? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Millett Hall in Oxford, OH. Toledo is favored by -1.5 in this Mid-American conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 149.5 points.


The Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks +1.5

This game will be played at Millett Hall at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the RedHawks.
  • Not only will Miami (OH) pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for Toledo?

As the Toledo Rockets get set to take on the Miami (OH) RedHawks, they come in as slight favorites on the road. For the season, Toledo is 7-6 on the road, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.

Overall, the Rockets have gone 18-11 this season, and they are 12-4 in Mid-American Conference play. They have gone 14-5 when favored, and their average scoring margin on the road is +0.9.

As the favorite this season, Toledo has gone 7-12 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Rockets are 4-6 ATS. On the road, Toledo has gone just 6-7 ATS this year and their last 3 road ATS record is 1-2.

On the season, the over/under record for Toledo games sits at 15-14. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 157 points, which is 2.1 points higher than the average over/under line of 154.9. This year, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 149.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 151 points.

In their latest game, Toledo’s offense looked good, scoring 85 points against Buffalo. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.1% and made 27/30 free throws. Ra’Heim Moss is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.9. Meanwhile, Dante Maddox Jr. also brings a PPG average of 15.5 into the game.

At this time, the Rockets’ defense is positioned 288th in the country, permitting 77.1 points per game. Against Buffalo in their most recent game, the Toledo defense gave up a total of 79 points while allowing Buffalo to hit 49% of their shots.

Will Miami (OH) Make it Happen at Home?

Today, the Miami (OH) RedHawks will be at home as they look to extend their three-game win streak. So far this season, the RedHawks have gone 7-4 at home, and they are averaging a scoring margin of +7.5 points per game.

As the underdog, Miami (OH) has gone 7-9 this season. Their record in the Mid-American Conference is 9-7, and they are coming off a 52-37 win over Eastern Michigan.

As the underdog, Miami (OH) has a solid 10-6 record vs. the spread this season. Their ATS mark at home is 7-4, and they have gone 5-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. Overall, the RedHawks are 16-11 vs. the spread in 2020-21.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Miami (OH) games this season (143.4). So far, 20 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 119 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 1-9.

Compared to their season average of 71.5 points per game, Miami (OH) struggled in their previous game. Against Eastern Michigan, the RedHawks scored 52 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 36.8%. Leading the team in scoring was Anderson Mirambeaux with 11 points. Darweshi Hunter also added 10 points for the RedHawks.

At present, the RedHawks’ defense is nationally ranked 89th, allowing 68.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Miami (OH)’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.1% this season.