Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Red Raiders versus the Knights? Tip off is at at 4:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL. The over/under for this game is set at 140.5 points, and UCF is favored by -1 vs. Texas Tech in a Big 12 conference matchup.


The Pick: UCF Knights -1

This game will be played at Addition Financial Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-67 in favor of the Knights.
  • Not only will UCF pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Red Raiders Defense Show Up on the Road?

After a 82-81 win over TCU, Texas Tech is 19-7 overall and 8-5 in the Big 12. The Red Raiders are 5-6 on the road this season, and they have lost three straight away from home.

For the season, Texas Tech has been the underdog in nine games, going 3-6 in those contests. The Red Raiders have been the favorite in 17 games, and they have a 16-1 record in those matchups.

As the underdog this season, Texas Tech has gone just 3-5-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Red Raiders have a mark of 3-6-1 vs. the spread. On the road, Texas Tech’s ATS record sits at 4-6-1 this year and they are just 1-3-1 vs. the spread in their last five road games.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line of 139.1 in Texas Tech’s games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 149 points. On the year, their over/under record is 17-9.

Texas Tech’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 82 points vs. TCU. Overall, they hit 39.4% of their shots from the field and went 24/28 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring is Pop Isaacs, who is averaging 16.3 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Joe Toussaint also maintains a PPG average of 12.5 heading into game.

The Red Raiders’ defense is presently ranked 88th nationally, allowing an average of 68.7 points per contest. Against TCU in their most recent game, the Texas Tech defense gave up a total of 81 points while allowing TCU to hit 39% of their shots.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Knights?

UCF comes into this game as the favorite, with a record of 13-12 on the season. They have gone 11-5 at home, compared to just 2-7 on the road. Over their last ten games at home, they have gone 6-4.

Most recently, the Knights lost to West Virginia by a score of 77-67. They have lost four games in a row, and their record in the Big 12 this season is 4-9.

As the favorite, UCF has gone 7-7 vs. the spread this season and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Knights have an ATS mark of 9-6-1 this year and they are 5-4-1 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is similar to the average over/under line in UCF’s games this season (138.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1 and the average scoring total is 157 points. On the year, the over/under record in their games is 13-11-1.

In their most recent game, the Knights’ offense tallied 67 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 71.9 points per game. Jaylin Sellers is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.5. Meanwhile, Darius Johnson also brings a PPG average of 14.2 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the UCF defense is giving up an average of 67.0 points per contest. UCF’s three-point defense is currently 114th in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.0% of their shots vs. UCF.