The Red Raiders and Horned Frogs are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Horned Frogs will host the game at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX. The over/under for this game is set at 148.5 points, and TCU is favored by -4.5 vs. Texas Tech in a Big 12 conference matchup.


The Pick: TCU Horned Frogs -4.5

This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 30th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Horned Frogs.
  • Not only will TCU pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can Texas Tech Secure a Road Victory?

After winning their last game against Oklahoma by a score of 85-84, Texas Tech comes into this game with a record of 16-3. They have won two games in a row and are 5-1 in Big 12 play compared to 11-2 in non-conference games.

On the road this season, the Red Raiders are 5-3, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home. For the year, their average scoring margin on the road is +0.6.

As the underdog, Texas Tech has gone 3-3 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Red Raiders have an ATS mark of 6-4. On the road, Texas Tech has an ATS record of 4-4 this year and they are 5-5 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Texas Tech’s games this season (138.1). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points and their over/under record for the season is 12-7.

Texas Tech’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 85 points vs. Oklahoma. Overall, they hit 52.6% of their shots from the field and went 16/19 from the free-throw line. Leading Texas Tech in scoring vs. Oklahoma was Chance McMillian with his 27 points. Pop Isaacs also added 18 points for the Red Raiders.

The Red Raiders’ defense is presently ranked 76th nationally, allowing an average of 67.2 points per contest. Against Oklahoma in their most recent game, the Texas Tech defense gave up a total of 84 points while allowing Oklahoma to hit 47% of their shots.

Does TCU Have What it Takes at Home?

TCU comes into this game with a 15-5 record, including a 4-3 mark in Big 12 play. They have won two straight games, and their record at home is 9-3 this season, with an average scoring margin of +16.8 points per game.

So far, the Horned Frogs have been favored in 16 of their 20 games, going 13-3 in those matchups. In their last game, they defeated Baylor by a score of 105-102, and their record over their last 10 home games is 7-3.

Against the spread, TCU has gone 12-8 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 6-6. Over their last three home games, the Horned Frogs are 2-1 vs. the spread. As the favorite, TCU has a 9-7 record vs. the spread this year.

On the season, the over/under record in TCU games is 11-9. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (149.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points compared to their season average of 154.1 points per game.

TCU’s offense had a good outing, putting up 105 points against Baylor. They achieved a 52.6% field goal percentage and went 17/24 from the free-throw line. Emanuel Miller is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.8. Meanwhile, Jameer Nelson Jr. also brings a PPG average of 11.5 into the game.

The Horned Frogs’ defense is presently ranked 130th nationally, allowing an average of 70.5 points per contest. TCU’s three-point defense is currently 65th in the country at 6.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.3% of their shots vs. TCU.