Planning on watching today’s Red Raiders and Cougars game? Catch the action at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO, as the Cougars hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 131.5 points, and Houston is favored by -8.5 to win at home against Texas Tech.


The Pick: Houston Cougars -8.5

This game will be played at T-Mobile Center at 7:00 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-67 in favor of the Cougars.
  • Not only will Houston pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Red Raiders Make it Happen on the Road?

After winning their last game against BYU by a score of 81-67, Texas Tech will look to extend their win streak to five games. So far this season, they have gone 22-9, including a 12-7 record in Big 12 play.

As an underdog this season, the Red Raiders have gone 4-7, and they come into this game with an overall road record of 7-7. Over their last ten road games, they have gone 5-5, and their average scoring margin on the road is -0.1 points per game.

Against the spread, Texas Tech has gone 15-16-1 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-7-1. As the underdog, the Red Raiders are 4-6-1 vs. the spread this year and 4-5-1 in their last 10 games as the underdog. In their last three road games, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and they have gone 5-4-1 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 131.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas Tech’s games this season (140.7). So far, 24 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 142 points.

Texas Tech’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 81 points against BYU. They had an overall field goal percentage of 49.1% and made 18/25 free throws. Pop Isaacs led the scoring for the Red Raiders, contributing 22 points. Additionally, Chance McMillian chipped in with 17 points.

So far, the Red Raiders’ defense is ranked 87th in the country at 68.9 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. Houston. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.3%.

Will Houston Find a Way to Win at Home?

At home this season, Houston has been dominant, going 19-0 with an average scoring margin of +26.4 points per game. Over the last 10 games at home, the Cougars have gone a perfect 10-0. For the year, they are 28-3 overall and have won nine straight games. In their most recent game, Houston defeated TCU by a score of 60-45.

As for their record against the spread, the Cougars have been favored in 29 of their 31 games, going 27-2 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is +2.5, and they are 8-3 away from home this season. So far, Houston’s record in the Big 12 is 15-3, and they are a perfect 13-0 in non-conference games.

As the favorite this season, Houston has gone 14-13-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cougars have gone 4-4-2 ATS. At home, Houston has an ATS mark of 12-6-1 this year and they are 6-3-1 ATS over their last 10 home games.

This season, the over/under record for Houston is 12-18. The average over/under line in their games this year is 133.2 and the average scoring total is 129.9. So far, 17 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line of 131.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is 117 points.

In their recent matchup, the Houston offense ended with 60 points against TCU. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 39.6% and made 8 threes. In terms of offense, the Cougars have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 278th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 143rd in percentage and 156th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Cougars’ defense is nationally ranked 1st, allowing 56.5 points per game. The Houston defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 45 points and allowed TCU to connect on 8 threes.