Texas Tech at West Virginia College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5) and West Virginia Mountaineers are ready to go at it on the turf at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. ESPN2 will broadcast the action and the opening kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET.

Texas Tech at West Virginia Betting Odds 11/9/2019

This Big 12 game’s line is placed at 1.5 points in favor of Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are currently receiving -120 moneyline odds while the Mountaineers are +100. The over/under has been set at 60 points, and there could be some good in-game betting scenarios for this matchup.

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The original odds have shifted, as the line opened at 0. The game’s O/U has not moved after it was set initially at 60.

The Red Raiders are 3-5 straight up (SU), including 1-4 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Mountaineers are 3-5 SU overall and are also 1-4 SU in conference play. The Red Raiders have lost 3.2 units so far in 2019 and are 3-4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 5-3.

The Mountaineers are up 0.2 units this season. The team is 3-4-1 ATS and has an even O/U record of 4-4.

The Red Raiders fell to Kansas 37-34 in a game where Jett Duffey completed 23-of-34 passes for 271 yards and three touchdowns. SaRodorick Thompson (80 yards on 20 rush attempts, one TD) and Armand Shyne (53 yards on 12 carries) mounted the ground attack while Dalton Rigdon (seven receptions, 76 yards, one TD) and KeSean Carter (three catches, 24 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

A week ago, Baylor knocked off this West Virginia crew by a score of 17-14. Austin Kendall completed 20-of-39 passes for 205 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Kendall (20 rushing yards on nine attempts) spearheaded the running game while Winston Wright (four receptions, 31 yards) and Isaiah Esdale (three catches, 26 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Each team sports a nearly identical (45-55) run-pass ratio on the season. The Red Raiders, however, have produced 173 rush yards per game (including 176 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 14 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Mountaineers haven’t been as successful, as they’re logging 79 rush yards per contest (79 in conference) and have seven total rushing TDs.

The Red Raiders have averaged 305 yards through the air overall (284 per game against conference opposition) and have 15 passing TDs so far. The Mountaineers have produced 223 pass yards per outing (222.8 in the Big 12) and have 13 total pass scores.

Defensively, Texas Tech has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 176 yards and pass for 285 yards per game. West Virginia has allowed 177.8 rushing yards per game and 235.8 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Red Raiders have given up an ANY/A of 7.44 to opposing QBs, while the Mountaineers are allowing an ANY/A of 7.19.

Duffey is up to 1,181 pass yards this year, and has completed 92-of-141 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Duffey’s got an 8.17 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.61 over the last two games.

In the hosts’ locker room, Austin Kendall has put up 1,452 yards, 10 TDs and eight INTs. Kendall’s ANY/A sits at 5.09 for the year and 5.55 over his last two outings.

When these two schools met a year ago, West Virginia got the victory 42-34.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia Mountaineers Bedding Prediction

SU Winner – West Virginia, ATS Winner – West Virginia, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

Both passing attacks have produced six pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Red Raiders have have made 13 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Mountaineers have accounted for 10 such plays.

The Texas Tech defense has allowed 15 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while West Virginia has given up three such plays.

The Texas Tech offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while West Virginia has created five such runs.

The Red Raiders defense has allowed 16 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Mountaineers have given up five such runs.

The West Virginia D has produced 26 sacks on the year while Texas Tech has just 17.

As a team, Texas Tech has rushed for 4.3 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 4.8 over its last two.

West Virginia has averaged 1.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 1.2 over its last two.

In its last three games, West Virginia is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Texas Tech’s last game going into it was 65. The over cashed in the team’s 37-34 defeat to Kansas.

In its last three matchups, Texas Tech is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for West Virginia’s last outing was set at 56.5. The under cashed in the 17-14 defeat to Baylor.

Texas Tech has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a 10-point win over Oklahoma State on October 5th accounting for the only victory over that span.

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