The Bobcats and Trojans are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Trojans will host the game at Trojan Arena in Troy, AL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 138 points, and Troy is favored by -8 to win at home against Texas State.


The Pick: Texas State Bobcats +8

This game will be played at Trojan Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Trojans.
  • Even though we have Troy winning straight-up, we like Texas State at +8.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can Texas State Stun the Crowd at Trojan Arena?

Through 19 games this season, Texas State has gone 7-12, including a 1-6 mark in Sun Belt Conference action. The Bobcats have lost two straight games, and they are 4-6 on the road this season.

So far, Texas State has been an underdog in 11 of their 19 games, going just 2-9 in those contests. In their last game, the Bobcats fell to Arkansas State by a score of 79-72.

Against the spread this season, Texas State is 7-10. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bobcats are 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Texas State games is 8-9. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 137.7 and today’s line of 138 is very close to that. Their average scoring total over their last three games is 142 points.

In their latest game, Texas State offense put up 72 points against Arkansas State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.3% and made 3 threes. The team’s top scorer is Brandon Love, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 11.4, while Kaden Gumbs also maintains a PPG average of 10.4 leading up to the game.

At present, the Bobcats’ defense is nationally ranked 147th, allowing 71.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Texas State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 27.2% this season.

Will the Trojans Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

At home this season, Troy boasts a record of 7-1, and they have won seven straight games at home. On the other hand, the Trojans have gone just 1-7 on the road this season, and they have lost their last two road games. Overall, Troy has gone 11-8 this season, and they come into this game on a two-game losing streak.

So far, the Trojans have been favored in nine of their 19 games, and they have gone 7-2 in those games. In their last game, Troy lost to Southern Miss by a score of 64-63. For the season, the Trojans have gone 5-2 in Sun Belt Conference play, and they are 6-6 in non-conference games.

As the favorite, Troy has gone 7-2 vs. the spread this season. At home, the Trojans are 7-1 ATS and over their last 10 home games, they have an ATS record of 7-3. Overall, Troy’s ATS mark is 11-5.

So far this season, the over/under record for Troy sits at 8-8. The average scoring total in their games is 148.1 points compared to the average over/under line of 145.9, resulting in an average margin of 2.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 138 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games (136 points) and their average over/under mark of 145.

In their most recent game, the Troy offense concluded with only 63 points against Southern Miss. Throughout the game, they made 10/21 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 41.5%. Leading the team in scoring was Christyon Eugene with 19 points. Jackson Fields also added 9 points for the Trojans.

At present, the Trojans’ defense is nationally ranked 101st, allowing 69.5 points per game. Against Southern Miss in their most recent game, the Troy defense gave up a total of 64 points while allowing Southern Miss to hit 45% of their shots.