The Bobcats and Golden Eagles are set to face off at 3:30 ET on ESPN+. The Golden Eagles will host the game at Reed Green Coliseum in Hattiesburg, MS. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 130.5 points, and Southern Miss is favored by -2.5 to win at home against Texas State.

TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles -2.5

This game will be played at Reed Green Coliseum at 3:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-67 in favor of the Golden Eagles.
  • Not only will Southern Miss pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will Texas State Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

As the Texas State Bobcats prepare to take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, they come in as 2.5-point underdogs. So far this season, they have gone 3-12 when considered the underdog. In their last game, they lost to South Alabama by a score of 72-55.

So far this season, Texas State has gone 4-9 in Sun Belt Conference play, compared to their 7-6 non-conference record. On the road, they have gone 4-9, and they come in with a losing streak of three games. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 3-7.

As the underdog this season, Texas State has gone 5-10 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bobcats have a 2-8 ATS record. On the road, Texas State is 6-7 ATS this year and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 130.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas State’s games this year (137.7). So far, their over/under record is 9-15. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 124 points.

Compared to their season average of 67.8 points per game, Texas State struggled in their previous game. Against South Alabama, the Bobcats scored 55 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 40.9%. Brandon Love is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 10.8. Meanwhile, Jordan Mason also brings a PPG average of 12.5 into the game.

At this time, the Bobcats’ defense is positioned 119th in the country, permitting 70.1 points per game. Against South Alabama in their most recent game, the Texas State defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing South Alabama to hit 52% of their shots.

Do the Golden Eagles Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

At home, Southern Miss has been a solid team this season, going 7-5 with an average scoring margin of +1.7 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, the Golden Eagles are 7-3.

Overall, Southern Miss has a record of 14-12, including a 7-6 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. They have been the favorite in 11 games, going 7-4.

When looking at Southern Miss’ ATS record this season, they are currently 9-14-1. At home, their ATS mark is 5-6-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 4-5-1 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, Southern Miss is 1-1-1 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Southern Miss games is 11-12-1. Today’s line of 130.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (142.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

Compared to their season average of 70.1 points per game, Southern Miss struggled in their previous game. Against Louisiana-Monroe, the Golden Eagles scored 59 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 41.3%. The top scorer for the Golden Eagles was Austin Crowley with 22 points, while Tegra Izay also added 12 to the scoreboard.

The Golden Eagles’ defense is presently ranked 117th nationally, allowing an average of 70.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Southern Miss’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.8% this season.