Looking to win big? The Bobcats and Jaguars face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Jaguars are hosting the game at Mitchell Center in Mobile, AL. The odds for this Sun Belt conference game currently have South Alabama as the -2 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 137.5 points.

TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: South Alabama Jaguars -2

This game will be played at Mitchell Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, February 15th.

WHY BET THE SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Jaguars.
  • Not only will South Alabama pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Does Texas State Have a Shot at a Road Win?

After their win over Ball State, Texas State has now won four straight games. On the season, the Bobcats are 11-14, including a 4-8 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. As the underdog, Texas State has gone 3-11.

On the road, the Bobcats are 4-8 this season, and they have gone 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home. For the year, Texas State has been outscored by an average of 9.0 points per game on the road.

As the underdog, Texas State has gone just 5-9 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS record stands at 6-6, and they are 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three road games.

Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line of 137.8 in Texas State’s games this season. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 120 points and their over/under record for the season is 9-14.

The Bobcats’ offense wrapped up their last game with 68 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 68.3 points per contest. The top scorer for the Bobcats was Davion Sykes with 11 points, while Jordan Mason also added 11 to the scoreboard.

So far, the Bobcats’ defense is ranked 113rd in the country at 70.0 points per contest. The Texas State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 60 points and allowed Ball State to connect on 5 threes.

Are South Alabama Ready for a Home Win?

South Alabama will be looking to improve on their 12-13 record when they take on Texas State at home. The Jaguars are favored by two points and have gone 6-4 as the favorite this season.

South Alabama has gone 6-4 at home this season, and they are currently on a two-game winning streak. Their average scoring margin at home is +2.5 points per game.

South Alabama has an ATS record of 12-10 this season and they are 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Jaguars are 6-4 vs. the spread this season and they are 5-3 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

South Alabama’s over/under record for the season sits at 11-11 and today’s line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (144.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 141. So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 137.5.

Coming off their recent game, the South Alabama offense tallied 75 points in a matchup against Northern Illinois. Their field goal percentage for the game was 45.2%, and they made 13 threes. Offensively, the Jaguars have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 271st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 221st in percentage and 168th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the South Alabama defense is giving up an average of 77.1 points per contest. Against Northern Illinois in their most recent game, the South Alabama defense gave up a total of 66 points while allowing Northern Illinois to hit 45% of their shots.