Betting on today’s Bobcats and Dukes game? Catch the action at Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, FL, as the Dukes hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 141.5 points, and James Madison is favored by -10.5 vs. Texas State in a Sun Belt conference matchup.


The Pick: James Madison Dukes -10.5

This game will be played at Pensacola Bay Center at 8:30 ET on Sunday, March 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-67 in favor of the Dukes.
  • Not only will James Madison pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Are the Bobcats Ready for a Road Win?

As the underdog, Texas State has gone 6-14 this season. They are coming off a 74-68 win over Troy and have won four straight games. On the road, the Bobcats are 7-11 this season, and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6.

For the season, Texas State has an overall record of 17-17, and they are 8-11 in Sun Belt Conference games. They have gone 9-6 in non-conference games.

As the underdog this season, Texas State has gone 8-12 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is .500 at 15-15. On the road, the Bobcats are 9-9 ATS this year and have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Texas State has a 5-5 ATS record.

This season, the over/under record for Texas State games is 12-18, and today’s line of 141.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (137.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points, and their OU record during this stretch is 2-1.

In their most recent game, the Bobcats’ offense tallied 74 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 69.9 points per game. The top scorer for the Bobcats was Jordan Mason with 25 points, while Davion Sykes also chipped in with 13 points.

The Bobcats’ defense is presently ranked 120th nationally, allowing an average of 70.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.0 threes per game vs. James Madison. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.1%.

Pressure Builds for James Madison as Home Favorites

James Madison has been dominant at home this season, going 14-1 with an average scoring margin of +18.0 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Dukes are 9-1.

Overall, James Madison has gone 29-3, and they are currently riding an 11-game winning streak. They have been favored in 28 of their 32 games, going 26-2 in those contests. So far, they have gone 17-3 in Sun Belt Conference games.

James Madison has an overall ATS record of 18-13 this season. At home, they are 9-6 vs. the spread and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

James Madison’s over/under record this season is 14-16-1 and today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (153.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.

The James Madison offense is coming off a game in which they scored 81 points vs. Marshall. Overall their field goal percentage was 44.6% while connecting on 8 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Terrence Edwards who comes into today’s matchup averaging 17.6. T.J Bickerstaff also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.8.

Coming into today’s game, the James Madison defense is giving up an average of 69.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, James Madison’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.1% this season.