The Bobcats and Panthers are set to face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Panthers will host the game at GSU Convocation Center in Atlanta, GA. The over/under for this Sun Belt conference contest is set at 140 points, with Georgia State being favored by -5 at home against Texas State.


The Pick: Georgia State Panthers -5

This game will be played at GSU Convocation Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Panthers.
  • Not only will Georgia State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Taking a Look at the Bobcats Chances on the Road

Heading into tonight’s game against Georgia State, Texas State is a 5-point underdog and has an overall record of 11-17. The Bobcats have lost three straight games, and their record in Sun Belt Conference play is 4-11.

On the road this season, Texas State has gone 4-11, and their average scoring margin is -9.1 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Bobcats have gone 2-8.

As the underdog, Texas State has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 5-12. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-9. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bobcats are just 2-8 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas State games is 11-15. Today’s line of 140 is higher than the average OU line in their games (137.4). Over their last three games, the OU record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 146 points.

Texas State is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 76 points versus Georgia Southern. This output is higher than their season-average of 68.3 points per game. Offensively, the Bobcats have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 273rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 319th in percentage and 362nd in three-pointers made.

So far, the Bobcats’ defense is ranked 139th in the country at 70.9 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Georgia Southern, the Eagles finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 84 points vs. Texas State.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Panthers?

Georgia State will host Texas State as five-point favorites. The Panthers have a record of 13-14 this season, including a 7-8 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. They have won two games in a row, and their record at home is 6-3.

Georgia State’s average scoring margin at home is +5.3 points per game, and they have gone 9-4 when favored this season. In their most recent game, they defeated Coastal Carolina by a final score of 72-71.

Georgia State’s ATS record for the season is 11-13-1, including a mark of 4-4-1 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Panthers are 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 140 is lower than the average over/under line in Georgia State’s games this season (149.3). The average scoring total in their last three games is 140 points, which is equal to today’s over/under line.

In their previous game, the Panthers’ offense finished with 72 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.9 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Lucas Taylor, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 13.9, while Toneari Lane also maintains a PPG average of 13 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Panthers’ defense holds the 231st rank in the nation, allowing 74.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Georgia State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 26.8% this season.