Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Tigers versus the Tigers? Tip off is at at 9:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPNU. The game will be played at Bartow Arena in Birmingham, AL. In this Southwestern Athletic matchup, Texas Southern is favored by -2.5 vs. Grambling State. The over/under for the game is 127.5 points.


The Pick: Texas Southern Tigers -2.5

This game will be played at Bartow Arena at 9:30 ET on Saturday, March 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Not only will Grambling State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 127.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Does Texas Southern Have What it Takes on the Road?

After starting the season 1-9, the Texas Southern Tigers have turned things around and now sit at 14-15 on the year. They are 15-6 in conference play and have won four straight games.

In their last game, the Tigers defeated Alabama A&M by a score of 72-65. They have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games and are 4-1 in their last five.

As the favorite this season, Texas Southern has gone 11-6 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 8-8. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 127.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas Southern’s games this year (140.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points, which is higher than today’s line.

The Texas Southern offense is coming off a game in which they scored 72 points vs. Alabama A&M. Overall their field goal percentage was 43.1% while connecting on 6 threes. The team’s top scorer is PJ Henry, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.3, while Jonathan Cisse also carries a PPG average of 13.3 into the game.

The Tigers’ defense is presently ranked 123rd nationally, allowing an average of 70.5 points per contest. Texas Southern’s three-point defense is currently 67th in the country at 6.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.6% of their shots vs. Texas Southern.

Can the Tigers Grab a Win at Home?

Grambling State has been a much better team at home this season, as they have gone 9-5 compared to 8-8 on the road. They have won five straight games at home, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +2.1 points per game.

Overall, the Tigers have won nine straight games, and their record this season is 17-14. In Southwestern Athletic Conference play, they have gone 17-3 compared to 0-11 in non-conference action.

Grambling State has an ATS record of 17-13 this season, including a mark of 7-7 at home. As the underdog, the Tigers are 10-7 vs. the spread this year and have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog.

Grambling State’s over/under record for the year is 13-17 and today’s line of 127.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (135.3). So far, 11 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 131 points.

In their most recent game, the Grambling State offense concluded with only 65 points against Bethune-Cookman. Throughout the game, they made 7/15 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 41.7%. In terms of offense, the Tigers have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 268th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 164th in percentage and 347th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Grambling State defense is giving up an average of 68.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Grambling State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.2% this season.