The Vaqueros and Lancers are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lancers will host the game at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center in Riverside, CA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 138.5 points, and California Baptist is favored by -13 to win at home against Texas-Rio Grande Valley.


The Pick: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +13

This game will be played at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center at 8:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-71 in favor of the Lancers.
  • Even though we have California Baptist winning straight-up, we like Texas-Rio Grande Valley at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Do the Vaqueros Have a Shot at a Win at Riverside?

After losing their last game to Grand Canyon by a score of 72-43, the Vaqueros come into this game with a record of 6-22. They have lost 11 straight games and have gone just 2-15 in Western Athletic Conference play.

On the road this season, Texas-Rio Grande Valley has gone just 1-12, and they have gone 0-5 in their last five games away from home. They have an average scoring margin of -15.4 on the road this season.

As the underdog, Texas-Rio Grande Valley has an ATS record of 10-14 this season. On the road, the Vaqueros are 6-7 vs. the spread and have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Texas-Rio Grande Valley is just 2-8 vs. the spread.

The over/under record for Texas-Rio Grande Valley this season is 13-13 and the average over/under line in their games is 151.4. So far, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 138.5. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 127 points and their over/under record during that stretch is 0-3.

Coming off their recent game, the Texas-Rio Grande Valley offense tallied 43 points in a matchup against Grand Canyon. Their field goal percentage for the game was 33.3%, and they made 5 threes. Elijah Elliott is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Daylen Williams brings a PPG average of 10.2 into the game.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Texas-Rio Grande Valley is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 79.9 points per game (322nd). Against Grand Canyon in their most recent game, the Texas-Rio Grande Valley defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing Grand Canyon to hit 50% of their shots.

Will the Lancers Live Up to Expectations at Home?

California Baptist enters this game with a 14-14 overall record and a five-game losing streak. They are 7-9 in Western Athletic Conference play and 8-5 at home this season. On the year, they have been favored in 16 games, going 10-6 in those matchups.

In their last game, the Lancers fell to Tarleton State by a score of 82-65. Over their last 10 games at home, they have a record of 5-5. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +3.3 points per game at home.

As the favorite, Cal Baptist has gone just 4-6 vs. the spread in their last 10 games. Overall, they are 9-16 vs. the spread this year. At home, their ATS mark is 4-9 and they are 0-5 vs. the spread in their last 5 home games.

Cal Baptist’s over/under record this season sits at 12-13 and today’s over/under line of 138.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 137.3 in their games this year. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

The Lancers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 65 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 67.8 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Dominique Daniels Jr., who holds an average of 19.2 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Blondeau Tchoukuiegno is averaging 11.4 points per game this season.

California Baptist’s defense has been playing well, ranking 41st nationally, with 66.5 points allowed per game. In their most recent game, the California Baptist defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Tarleton State knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 82 points.