Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Free Pick 05/16/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-16

Elvis Andrus and the Texas Rangers will face off against the Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City will televise this AL matchup and the game gets going at 1:15 p.m. ET.

Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Odds

Texas (-110) is favored over Kansas City (+100) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Rangers -1.5 (+135) and Royals +1.5 (-155).

The Rangers are 18-22 SU and have gone 21-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.5 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going, despite having lost 1.4 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Royals, on the other hand, are 15-28 SU and 21-21 ATS. The team’s lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. Kansas City has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Kansas City games have an over/under record of 23-17-2 so far in 2019. Texas has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 24-14-1.

Lance Lynn will get the nod for the visiting Rangers. The right-handed Lynn is 4-3 with a 5.48 ERA and 44 strikeouts. This is his first start against Kansas City this year. He made three starts against the Royals in 2018, compiling a 2-1 record against them with a 4.50 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

The Royals are handing the ball to righty Homer Bailey (4-3, 4.83 ERA), who has 38 strikeouts and 16 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.32. Bailey did not register a start against the Rangers in 2018.

As a unit, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.31, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.59 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The Kansas City offense has produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .255/.330/.366 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and shortstop Adalberto Mondesi have led the Royals’ offense this year. Merrifield is slashing .288/.345/.514 with six home runs, 20 RBIs, 33 runs and seven stolen bases, and Mondesi’s line sits at .281/.317/.497 with five homers, 35 RBIs, 24 runs and 15 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Texas’ pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.86 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 8.00 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.93, along with a WHIP of 1.62.

The Rangers offense has slashed .248/.333/.451 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo have led Texas’ offense. Andrus is slashing .325/.373/.510 with six home runs, 26 RBIs, 25 runs and eight stolen bases. Choo (.288/.392/.493) has produced five homers, 15 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

The Rangers have gained 2.6 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 4.2 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 12 that went under.

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

Texas has recorded 21 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Kansas City has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Rangers have a total OPS of .783 this season and an OPS of .799 against right-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS sits at .745 overall and .772 versus righties.

Texas has recorded 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.8 over its last five.

The Rangers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit 11 over their last 10.

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