Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Free Pick 05/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-15

The Texas Rangers will take the field against the Kansas City Royals. Fox Sports Kansas City will televise this AL matchup and the game gets going at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals Odds

Vegas has listed Kansas City (+115) as the underdog to Texas (-125). The game’s total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +120 for the Rangers -1.5 runs and -140 for the Royals +1.5.

The Rangers have gone 17-22 SU this year and are 21-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.5 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 0.3 units ATS. Texas is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Royals, on the other hand, are 15-27 SU and 20-21 ATS. The team’s lost 8.3 units for moneyline bettors and 5.8 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Royals games have had an over/under record of 22-17-2 so far in 2019. Texas has been a decent over bet with a total record of 23-14-1.

The southpaw Mike Minor is getting the nod for the visiting Rangers. Minor is 3-3 with a 2.68 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Royals this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 6.00 ERA and four strikeouts over six innings).

The Royals are putting the ball in the right hand of Jorge Lopez (0-4, 6.07 ERA, 1.49 WHIP), who’s got 39 strikeouts and 17 walks. Lopez did not register a start against the Rangers in 2018.

Texas’ pitching staff allowed 5.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.97 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.05, along with a K-per-9 of 7.24.

The Rangers offense has slashed .245/.331/.444 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Texas’ hitters have been led by Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo. Andrus is slashing .325/.373/.510 with six home runs, 26 RBIs, 25 runs and eight stolen bases. Choo is hitting .287 with four homers, 14 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.25, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The Kansas City offense has produced 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .220/.303/.333 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and shortstop Adalberto Mondesi have led the Royals’ offense this year. Merrifield is hitting .297/.354/.529 with six home runs, 20 RBIs, 33 runs and seven stolen bases, and Mondesi’s line sits at .268/.302/.488 with five homers, 34 RBIs, 24 runs and 13 steals.

The Rangers have gained 2.6 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 3.0 units and are 6-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to five which went under the total.

Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The under has hit in four of Kansas City’s last seven games.

The Rangers have lost six of their last seven games SU.

Kansas City has posted 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.

Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.

The Rangers have a team OPS of .775 this season and an OPS of .788 against right-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS stands at .747 overall and .779 against righties.

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