Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick 06/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-12

Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox will look to avoid losing their fourth straight game when they play host to the surging Texas Rangers at Fenway Park. Fox Sports Southwest is in line to broadcast this AL showdown and the game gets underway at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Boston (-155) is favored over Texas (+145) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 10 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). There’s a runline of Rangers +1.5 (-150) and Red Sox -1.5 (+130) for this matchup.

The Red Sox are 34-34 straight up (SU) and 28-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.5 units for moneyline bettors and 14.6 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven. The Rangers have gone 36-30 SU this year and are 39-26 against the spread. They’ve gained 13.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.3 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Boston games have an over/under record of 36-29-2 so far in 2019. The Rangers have an over/under record of 32-32-1.

The right-handed Lance Lynn is the probable starter for Texas. Lynn (7-4, 4.39 ERA) has recorded 85 strikeouts in 80 innings so far. This is his first outing against Boston this year. He made two starts against the Red Sox in 2018, posting a 2-0 record against them with a 1.93 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The Red Sox will put the ball in the right hand of Rick Porcello (4-6, 4.86 ERA), who’s got 60 strikeouts and 24 walks as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Porcello only made one start against the Rangers in 2018 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and eight strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.59 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.5 K/9.

The Boston hitters have put up 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .224/.290/.365 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Red Sox offense has been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .293/.352/.479 with nine home runs, 42 RBIs, 47 runs and eight steals, and Bogaerts is hitting .294 with 13 homers, 43 RBIs and 51 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Texas’ pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.92 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.81, along with a K-per-9 of 7.99.

Rangers hitters have slashed .258/.337/.451 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Texas’ offensive production has been led by Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo. The speedy Andrus is slashing .302/.341/.460 with six home runs, 34 RBIs, 36 runs and 13 stolen bases. Choo (.288/.378/.515) is up to 11 homers, 28 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

The Rangers have gained 10.6 units and are 25-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 3.7 units and are 22-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 25 of those games, as opposed to 20 which went under the total.

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

Texas has logged 20 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 15 XBH over its last five.

The Rangers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.

The Rangers have a team OPS of .788 this season and an OPS of .814 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .774 overall and .789 against righties.

The Texas defense has coughed up three errors over the last five games, compared to six errors for Boston over its last five.

The Rangers have won four of their last five games SU while the Red Sox have dropped five of their last six.

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