Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Pick 06/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-13

Elvis Andrus and the Texas Rangers will do battle against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Southwest will be televising this AL matchup.

Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox Odds

Boston (getting -215 odds) is the enormous favorite over Texas and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. There’s a runline of Rangers +1.5 (-110) and Red Sox -1.5 (-110) for this matchup.

The Red Sox are 35-34 straight up (SU) and 28-40 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 17.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.6 units ATS. The Rangers have gone 36-31 SU this year and are 40-26 against the spread. They’ve accumulated 14.9 units for moneyline bettors and 11.3 units ATS.

Red Sox games have a 37-29-2 over/under record so far in 2019. The Rangers have an over/under record of 33-32-1.

The right-handed Adrian Sampson is the probable starter for Texas. Sampson is 5-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 53 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Red Sox are handing the ball to lefty David Price (4-2, 2.70 ERA), who has 69 strikeouts and 14 walks as well as a 1.05 WHIP. Price only made one start against the Rangers in 2018 (0-1, 17.18 ERA and four strikeouts across 3.2 innings).

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.56, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.5 K/9.

Boston’s hitters have produced 5.2 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .247/.326/.412 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Red Sox batters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .297/.354/.483 with nine home runs, 43 RBIs, 47 runs and eight stolen bases, while the line for Bogaerts stands at .290/.374/.518 with 13 homers, 43 RBIs and 51 runs.

For the visiting squad, Texas’ pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.92 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.81, along with a WHIP of 1.48 and a K/9 of 8.03.

The Rangers offense has slashed .256/.335/.449 on its way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo continue to lead Texas’ offense. The speedy Andrus is hitting .307/.344/.466 with six home runs, 35 RBIs, 37 runs and 13 stolen bases. Choo is hitting .284/.376/.508 with 11 homers, 28 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

The Rangers have gained 4.3 units and are 15-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 5.4 units and are 22-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The under has hit in four of Texas’ last seven games.

The Rangers have an OPS of .784 this season and an OPS of .728 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .776 overall and .726 against southpaws.

The Texas defense has coughed up three errors over the last five contests, compared to six errors for Boston over its last five.

Both teams have hit seven home runs over their last 10 outings.

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