Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Longhorns versus the Red Raiders? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, TX. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 145 points, with Texas Tech being favored by -4.5 at home against Texas.


The Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders -4.5

This game will be played at United Supermarkets Arena at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, February 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Red Raiders.
  • Not only will Texas Tech pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Texas Win on the Road?

After a loss to Kansas in their last game, Texas comes into this game as a 4.5-point underdog. On the road this season, the Longhorns have gone 4-5, and their average scoring margin is -5.3 points per game.

So far this season, Texas has been the underdog in nine games, and they have gone 3-6 in those games. In their last 10 road games, they have gone 5-5.

As the underdog this season, Texas has gone 4-5 vs. the spread. On the road, the Longhorns have an ATS mark of just 3-6 this year and they are just 1-2 ATS in their last three road games. Overall, Texas has an ATS record of 9-18 this season.

Today’s over/under line of 145 is higher than the average over/under line in Texas’ games this year (144.5). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their games this season have averaged 143.9 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Texas offense tallied 67 points in a matchup against Kansas. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.9%, and they made 9 threes. In terms of offense, the Longhorns have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 76th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 94th in percentage and 187th in three-pointers made.

The Longhorns’ defense is presently ranked 93rd nationally, allowing an average of 68.6 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.3 threes per game vs. Texas Tech. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.1%.

Do the Red Raiders Stand a Chance at Home?

With a 14-1 record at home, Texas Tech has been dominant in Lubbock this season. Over their last 10 games at home, the Red Raiders have gone 9-1. They are 16-1 as the favorite this season, and they are favored by 4.5 points today against Texas.

Overall, Texas Tech is 19-8 this season, and they are 8-6 in Big 12 play. They are coming off a 75-61 loss to UCF.

As the favorite this season, Texas Tech has gone 8-9 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Red Raiders are 5-5 ATS. At home, Texas Tech has an ATS mark of 7-8 this year and their ATS record in their last three home games is 1-2.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas Tech games is 17-10 and today’s over/under line of 145 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139.2). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

In their most recent game, the Texas Tech offense concluded with only 61 points against UCF. Throughout the game, they made 8/28 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 37%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Red Raiders offense has been good from outside, hitting 36% of their three-pointers on an average of 23.6 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

So far, the Red Raiders’ defense is ranked 101st in the country at 69.0 points per contest. In their previous game vs. UCF, the Knights finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 75 points vs. Texas Tech.