Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs Free Pick 04/02/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-04-02

The NIT meeting between the Texas Longhorns (19-16, 8-11 Big 12) and the TCU Horned Frogs (23-13, 8-12 Big 12) will be played at Madison Square Garden. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 137.5 points with TCU set as a 1-point favorite. Action starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 2, 2019, and it can be seen on ESPN.

Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs Odds Preview

In the Longhorns’ last matchup, they defeated the Colorado Buffaloes, 68-55, easily covering as 5-point favorites. Dylan Osetkowski led Texas in scoring with 15 points on 7-for-11 shooting. Texas played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.8 (better than their season average of 14.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.492 (below their season average of 0.509). For those same stats, Colorado was 18.2 and 0.364, respectively. The two teams combined to score 123 points, which was well under the projected point total of 138.

The Horned Frogs will look to maintain momentum after easily covering the 3.5-point spread against the Creighton Bluejays in their last outing, 71-58. TCU rallied around Kouat Noi, who was the top scorer from either team with 25 points on 8-for-15 shooting. TCU played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.214 (below their season average of 0.220) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.527 (below their season average of 0.527). Creighton had marks of 0.121 and 0.440, respectively, for those same stats. Combined, the two teams scored 129 points, which finished well under the projected point total of 151.5.

Of Texas’ 35 games, 21 have finished under the O/U total, while 19 of TCU’s 36 games have finished over the O/U total. The Horned Frogs have the better straight up (SU) record (23-13 vs. 19-16) and a narrow edge against the spread (ATS) (18-18 vs. 16-19).

When looking at effective field goal percentage, TCU should have a considerable edge. The Horned Frogs defense ranks 85th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.484), while the Texas offense is ranked 186th in effective field goal percentage (0.508).

Texas vs. TCU ATS Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Tcu, ATS Winner – TCU, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Longhorns rank 29th in steals allowed per game (5.1) while the Horned Frogs rank 122nd (6.1).

Texas ranks 69th in three pointers attempted per game (25.2) while TCU ranks 125th in three pointers allowed per game (21.7).

Texas ranks 44th in assists allowed per game (11.3) while TCU ranks 267th (15.3).

The Longhorns rank 63rd in blocks per game (4.1) while the Horned Frogs rank 202nd in blocks allowed per game (3.9).

TCU ranks 123rd in rebounds per game (36.2) while Texas ranks 227th (34.0).

Bettings Trends:

TCU is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, Texas is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Horned Frogs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.2, up from 4.6 for the season.

During their last five games, the Longhorns have scored an average of 67.6 points per game (3.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.6 points per game (0.5 above their season average).

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