Looking to win big? The Longhorns and Bearcats face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bearcats are hosting the game at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, OH. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 146 points, and the Bearcats are favored to win at home against the Longhorns.


The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats -5.5

This game will be played at Fifth Third Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-66 in favor of the Bearcats.
  • Not only will Cincinnati pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will the Longhorns Win in Cincinnati?

After dropping their Big 12 opener to Texas Tech, the Longhorns will look to bounce back on the road against Cincinnati. So far this season, Texas has gone 1-1 on the road compared to a 10-2 record at home.

Overall, the Longhorns have gone 11-3, and they have gone 11-2 in non-conference games. As the underdog, Texas has gone 0-2 this season, and they are currently 5.5-point underdogs for this game.

As the underdog this season, Texas has an ATS record of 0-2 and an overall ATS mark of just 4-10. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Longhorns have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Texas games is 6-8. The average scoring total in their games this year is 143.6 points, which is slightly lower than the average over/under line of 147 for their games. Today’s over/under line of 146 is similar to the average scoring total in their games this year. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 131 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Texas offense tallied 67 points in a matchup against Texas Tech. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.3%, and they made 6 threes. Leading Texas in scoring vs. Texas Tech was Tyrese Hunter with his 20 points. Max Abmas also added 18 points for the Longhorns.

At present, the Longhorns’ defense is nationally ranked 51st, allowing 65.3 points per game. Against Texas Tech, the Longhorns’ defense gave up 78 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Texas Tech only made 9 free-throws.

Can the Bearcats Offense Score Enough at Home?

Coming into today’s game against Texas, Cincinnati is 10-0 at home this season and has won their last 10 games at home. They are also 11-1 when favored this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +22.5.

Overall, the Bearcats are 12-2 this season and have won four straight games. In their last game, they defeated BYU by a score of 71-60. So far, they are 1-0 in Big 12 play and 11-2 in non-conference games.

As the favorite this season, Cincinnati has an ATS mark of 5-7. At home, their ATS record is 5-5 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bearcats are 4-6. In their last three home games, Cincinnati is 0-3 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record in Cincinnati games is 8-6 and today’s line of 146 is just below the average OU line of 147.2 in their games. So far, 8 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 140 points.

Compared to their season average of 81.3 points per game, Cincinnati struggled in their previous game. Against BYU, the Bearcats scored 71 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 42.6%. Offensively, the Bearcats have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 172nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 143rd in percentage and 124th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Cincinnati defense is giving up an average of 65.4 points per contest. So far, the Cincinnati defense is giving up an average of 6.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.6 times per game (439th).