The Islanders and Lions are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lions will host the game at The Field House in Commerce, TX. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi is favored by -2.5 in this Southland conference matchup the against Texas A&M-Commerce. The over/under for the game is set at 139.5 points.


The Pick: Texas A&M-Commerce Lions +2.5

This game will be played at The Field House at 8:00 ET on Monday, January 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lions.
  • Not only will Texas A&M-Commerce pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Lock in a Road Win?

After defeating Northwestern State 79-68, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi is 12-8 this season, including a 5-2 mark in Southland Conference play. On the road, the Islanders have gone 5-5, and they are currently on a two-game win streak away from home.

Overall, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi has been favored in eight games, going 5-3 in those matchups. For the season, the team has a scoring margin of -3.5 points per game on the road.

As the favorite, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi has gone 5-3 vs. the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-2 and they are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three road games.

This season, the over/under record for Texas A&M-Corpus Christi games is 5-11. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points compared to their season average of 140.7 points per game. On the year, the average over/under line in their games is 147 points, and today’s over/under line is 139.5 points. So far this season, 15 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line of 139.5 points.

The Texas A&M-Corpus Christi offense is coming off a game in which they scored 79 points vs. Northwestern State. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.3% while connecting on 9 threes. Dayne Prim led the team in scoring, putting up 17 points. Additionally, Stephen Giwa contributed 13 points for the Islanders.

This season, the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi defense has been impressive, holding the 65th position in the country while permitting an average of 66.8 points per contest. So far, the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi defense is giving up an average of 6.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.8 times per game (564th).

Can Texas A&M-Commerce Secure a Home Victory?

After losing their last game to Nicholls by a score of 87-84, the Lions have an overall record of 7-12. They have gone 1-5 in Southland Conference games and 6-7 in non-conference matchups.

Through 19 games, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 2-4 at home and has an average scoring margin of -1.7. They have lost their last three games at home and have a record of 5-5 in their last 10 games at home.

As the underdog, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 6-6 against the spread this season. Their overall ATS mark is 7-9. At home, the Lions are 3-3 vs. the spread this year and 3-4 in their last 10 games as the host.

Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas A&M-Commerce’s games this year (142.6). So far, the over/under record in their games is 6-10. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points.

The Texas A&M-Commerce offense is coming off a game in which they scored 84 points vs. Nicholls. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.5% while connecting on 11 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Kalen Williams, who holds an average of 14.4 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jerome Brewer Jr. is averaging 14.1 points per game this season.

On the defensive side, Texas A&M-Commerce is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 73.9 points per game. Texas A&M-Commerce’s three-point defense is currently 31st in the country at 5.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.5% of their shots vs. Texas A&M-Commerce.