Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Lions versus the Lions? Tip off is at at 4:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at University Center (LA) in Hammond, LA. The over/under for this Southland conference contest is set at 130 points, with the Lions being the favored team playing at home against the Lions.


The Pick: Texas A&M-Commerce Lions +6

This game will be played at University Center (LA) at 4:30 ET on Saturday, January 20th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Lions.
  • Not only will Southeastern Louisiana pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Taking a Look at the Lions Chances in Hammond

Entering today’s game, the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions have lost four straight games and are 6-10 overall. Their record in Southland Conference games is 0-3 compared to 6-7 in non-conference games. On the road, the Lions have gone just 1-7, and their average margin of defeat is -22.4 points per game.

So far this season, Texas A&M-Commerce has been the underdog in 10 of their 16 games, going 2-8 in those contests. As the underdog, their record on the road is 2-8 compared to 1-2 when they are favored. In their last game, the Lions lost to Houston Christian by a score of 69-65.

When looking at Texas A&M-Commerce’s ATS record this season, they are currently 6-7. On the road, their ATS mark sits at 3-5. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for games involving the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions is 5-8. The average scoring total in their games this year is 143.4 points, which is the same as the average over/under line in their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 148 points.

In their most recent game, the Texas A&M-Commerce offense put up just 65 points vs. the Houston Christian Huskies. Overall, they are now averaging 73.9 points per game which is 239th in the country. Kalen Williams led the team in scoring, putting up 28 points. Additionally, Kwo Agua contributed 12 points for the Lions.

The Lions’ defense is presently ranked 221st nationally, allowing an average of 74.3 points per contest. So far, the Texas A&M-Commerce defense is giving up an average of 10.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.8 times per game (549th).

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Southeastern Louisiana?

After losing three straight games, Southeastern Louisiana will look to get back on track when they host Texas A&M-Commerce. So far this season, the Lions are 6-11, including a 1-2 record at home. As 6-point favorites, they are 1-3 when favored.

On the other hand, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 2-8 when listed as the underdog. Southeastern Louisiana’s average scoring margin at home is -6.0 points per game, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games at home.

When looking at Southeastern Louisiana’s ATS record this season, they are currently 6-8. However, they have yet to cover the spread in any of their three home games this year and are 0-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. As the favorite, the Lions are 0-4 vs. the spread this season and just 2-8 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 130 is lower than the average over/under line in Southeastern Louisiana’s games this season (143.7). So far, 14 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 135 points.

In their recent game, the Lions’ offense concluded with 68 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 67.6 points per contest. Offensively, the Lions hold a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, placing them 324th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 243rd in terms of percentage and 234th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Lions’ defense is nationally ranked 158th, allowing 71.7 points per game. The Southeastern Louisiana defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi to connect on 7 threes.