Planning on watching today’s Lions and Colonels game? Catch the action at The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, LA, as the Colonels hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 137.5 points, and Nicholls is favored by -6.5 to win at home against Texas A&M-Commerce.

TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS VS NICHOLLS COLONELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Nicholls Colonels -6.5

This game will be played at The Legacy Center at 8:30 ET on Monday, March 11th.

WHY BET THE NICHOLLS COLONELS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Colonels.
  • Not only will Nicholls pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will Texas A&M-Commerce Shock Everyone at The Legacy Center?

Entering the game, Texas A&M-Commerce has a record of 13-19, including a 5-12 mark in Southland Conference play. On the road, the Lions are 4-12 this season, and they have won two straight games away from home.

As the underdog, Texas A&M-Commerce is 3-16 this season. In their last game, the Lions defeated Northwestern State by a score of 69-64. Over the team’s last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

As the underdog this season, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 7-12 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 6-10 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas A&M-Commerce’s games this year (141.1). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.

The Texas A&M-Commerce offense is coming off a game in which they scored 69 points vs. Northwestern State. Overall their field goal percentage was 46.9% while connecting on 3 threes. Kalen Williams was the leading scorer for the Lions, putting up 19 points. In addition, Kwo Agua contributed 16 points.

Currently, the Lions’ defense holds the 247th rank in the nation, allowing 74.7 points per game. The Texas A&M-Commerce defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 64 points and allowed Northwestern State to connect on 4 threes.

Will the Colonels Make it Happen at Home?

With a record of 18-13, Nicholls has been solid this season, and they have won two straight games. At home, the Colonels have gone 7-3, and they have won their last two games at home.

For the year, Nicholls has been favored in 12 of their games, going 10-2 in those matchups. As for their record in the Southland Conference, the Colonels have gone 13-5, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.

As the favorite, Nicholls is 8-4 vs. the spread this year and 17-11 overall. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Colonels are 8-2 vs. the spread. At home, they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread this season and 2-1 over their last 3 games.

Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Nicholls’ games this season (144). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points, which is less than the average over/under line in their games this season.

In their recent matchup, the Nicholls offense ended with 80 points against Southeastern Louisiana. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.2% and made 12 threes. Jamal West Jr. is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.1 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Diante Smith brings a PPG average of 15.2 into the game.

At present, the Colonels’ defense is nationally ranked 233rd, allowing 74.1 points per game. Nicholls’ three-point defense is currently 56th in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.8% of their shots vs. Nicholls.