Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Lions versus the Colonels? Tip off is at at 4:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Stopher Gymnasium in Thibodaux, LA. The over/under for this Southland conference contest is set at 135 points, with Nicholls being favored by -7.5 at home against Texas A&M-Commerce.

TEXAS A&M-COMMERCE LIONS VS NICHOLLS COLONELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Nicholls Colonels -7.5

This game will be played at Stopher Gymnasium at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.

WHY BET THE NICHOLLS COLONELS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Colonels.
  • Not only will Nicholls pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for Texas A&M-Commerce?

After losing to Texas A&M-Corpus Christi by a score of 86-63, Texas A&M-Commerce is looking to snap their two-game losing streak. So far this season, the Lions have gone 10-17, including a 3-10 record in Southland Conference play.

As the underdog, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 3-14 in 17 games. On the road, they have gone 2-11, with an average scoring margin of -18.2 points per game. Over their last ten road games, the Lions have gone 3-7.

As the underdog, Texas A&M-Commerce has an ATS record of 7-10 this season and they are 10-13 overall. On the road, their ATS mark is just 4-9 and they have gone 1-4 vs. the spread in their last 5 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 135 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas A&M-Commerce’s games this season (141). The over/under record in their games this year is 9-14. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

In their most recent game, the Texas A&M-Commerce offense put up just 63 points vs. the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders. Overall, they are now averaging 71.7 points per game which is 277th in the country. Kalen Williams was the leading scorer for the Lions, putting up 15 points. In addition, Kwo Agua contributed 10 points.

Currently, the Lions’ defense holds the 235th rank in the nation, allowing 74.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, the Islanders finished with a field goal percentage of 59% and a total of 86 points vs. Texas A&M-Commerce.

Can the Nicholls Offense Score Enough at Home?

After winning their last game against New Orleans, Nicholls comes into this game with a record of 14-12. They have been a much better team at home, going 5-3 compared to 6-9 on the road.

So far, Nicholls has been favored in 9 of their games, going 7-2 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -0.8 points per game.

As the favorite, Nicholls has gone 5-4 vs. the spread this season and has an overall ATS record of 13-10. At home, the Colonels have an ATS mark of 4-4 this year and are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three home games.

So far this season, the over/under record in Nicholls games is 11-12. On the year, the average scoring total in their games is 148.2 points, which is 3.6 points higher than the average over/under line of 144.5. Today’s line of 135 is lower than the average scoring total in their last three games (138), but higher than the average OU line in their games this year.

Nicholls recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 89 points against New Orleans. This output exceeded their season average of 72.9 points per game. Rob Brown III was the leading scorer for the Colonels, putting up 24 points. In addition, Byron Ireland contributed 21 points.

So far, the Colonels’ defense is ranked 247th in the country at 74.9 points per contest. In their previous game vs. New Orleans, the Privateers finished with a field goal percentage of 38% and a total of 77 points vs. Nicholls.