Looking to win big? The Lions and Cowboys face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Cowboys are hosting the game at The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, LA. The odds for this Southland conference game currently have McNeese State as the -18.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 135.5 points.


The Pick: Texas A&M-Commerce Lions +18.5

This game will be played at The Legacy Center at 8:00 ET on Monday, February 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Cowboys.
  • Even though we have McNeese State winning straight-up, we like Texas A&M-Commerce at +18.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Are the Lions Ready for a Road Win?

Heading into tonight’s game against McNeese State, Texas A&M-Commerce is 8-14 overall and 2-7 in Southland Conference play. The Lions have gone 6-7 in non-conference action.

On the road this season, Texas A&M-Commerce is just 2-9, and they have lost two straight games. Their average scoring margin on the road is -17.0 points per game.

As the underdog, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone just 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 games and 6-8 on the season. On the road, the Lions are 4-7 ATS this year and 1-2 in their last 3 games. Overall, they have an ATS mark of 8-11 this season.

Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas A&M-Commerce’s games this season (141.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 128 points and their over/under record for the season is 6-13.

The Texas A&M-Commerce offense is coming off a game in which they scored 57 points vs. Northwestern State. Overall their field goal percentage was 34.4% while connecting on 4 threes. Leading Texas A&M-Commerce in scoring vs. Northwestern State was Kwo Agua with his 15 points. Kalen Williams also added 12 points for the Lions.

Texas A&M-Commerce’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Texas A&M-Commerce’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.6% this season.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored McNeese State?

McNeese State has been dominant at home this season, as they are 7-0 with an average scoring margin of +17.3 points per game. They have also won 10 straight at home and are 12-1 when favored. On the year, the Cowboys are 19-3, including an 8-1 record in Southland Conference play.

Most recently, McNeese State suffered a 77-74 loss to Southeastern Louisiana. Over their last 10 games at home, the Cowboys are a perfect 10-0. For the season, they are scoring 82.9 points per game, while allowing just 70.7.

McNeese State has a 10-8 record against the spread this season and is 5-2 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cowboys have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 135.5 for the McNeese State game is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (142). This year, their over/under record is 11-7. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

In their latest game, McNeese State offense put up 74 points against Southeastern Louisiana. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 44.1% and made 7 threes. CJ Felder was the leading scorer for the Cowboys, putting up 16 points. In addition, Christian Shumate contributed 15 points.

So far, the Cowboys’ defense is ranked 7th in the country at 62.0 points per contest. The McNeese State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed Southeastern Louisiana to connect on 12 threes.