Looking to win big? The Lions and Huskies face off at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The Huskies are hosting the game at Sharp Gymnasium in Houston, TX. Texas A&M-Commerce come into this Southland conference matchup as the -1 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 149 points.


The Pick: Houston Christian Huskies +1

This game will be played at Sharp Gymnasium at 4:30 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Huskies.
  • Not only will Houston Christian pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Lions Offense Score Enough on the Road?

After losing their last game to Nicholls 85-70, the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions are 10-18 overall and 3-11 in Southland Conference play. They have lost three in a row and have gone 1-2 in their last three road games.

For the season, the Lions are 2-12 on the road, where they are being outscored by an average of 17.9 points per game. As the favorite, they have gone 3-3, and they are 3-15 as the underdog. So far, they have been favored in six of their 28 games.

As the favorite this season, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 3-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lions have a mark of 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 149 is higher than the average over/under line in Texas A&M-Commerce’s games this year (140.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.

In their recent game, the Lions’ offense concluded with 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 71.7 points per contest. Currently leading the team in scoring is Kalen Williams who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15.5. Tommie Lewis also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.

At present, the Lions’ defense is nationally ranked 243rd, allowing 74.7 points per game. In their most recent game, the Texas A&M-Commerce defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Nicholls knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 85 points.

Can the Huskies Hold Strong at Home?

Despite being the underdog, Houston Christian has performed better at home this season. They are 3-6 at home compared to 1-14 on the road. However, they have lost their last three games at home.

On the season, Houston Christian has gone 4-20 when they are the underdog. They are also just 4-11 in Southland Conference games.

At home this season, Houston Christian has an ATS record of 5-3-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Huskies have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 149 is lower than the average over/under line in Houston Christian’s games this season (154.1). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 162 points.

Houston Christian is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 79 points vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi. This figure is more than their season average of 71.2 points per game. Offensively, the Huskies have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 306th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 356th in percentage and 351st in three-pointers made.

Coming into the game, Houston Christian will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 83.0 points per game (340th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Houston Christian’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.4% this season.