You can catch this week’s 13 CFB game between the Aggies and Tigers on ESPN at 12:00 (11/25/23). The matchup will take place at Tiger Stadium (LA) in Baton Rouge (LA). LSU heads into this SEC matchup as the 10.5 point favorite to come away with the win. Does this mean they are a lock to win? Read on to get my take on this matchup.
TEXAS A&M AGGIES VS LSU TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas A&M Aggies +10.5
This game will be played at Tiger Stadium (LA) at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS A&M AGGIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 38-28 in favor of LSU.
- Even though we have LSU winning straight-up, we like Texas A&M at +10.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 66.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 66 points.
Does Texas A&M Have A Chance at Tiger Stadium (LA)?
So far, the Texas A&M Aggies are 7-4, including going 1-3 on the road and 5-1 at home.
Against the spread, Texas A&M has gone 5-4-1 this season. The Aggies have been favored seven times compared to three games as the underdog.
Over 11 games, the average over/under line for Texas A&M’s games has been 50 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 54 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-4.
Texas A&M enters the game on offense with an average of 34.5, ranking them 20th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 43rd in the nation, with an average of 259.5 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 86th in rushing yards, with an average of 389 rushing attempts per game this season.
Texas A&M’s defense enters the game ranked 175th in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents throw the ball an average of 26.5 times against the Aggies. They have given up 19.5 PPG, which ranks 72nd in college football. In terms of rushing yards allowed, they stand at 23rd in the NCAA.
Do the Tigers Have What it Takes at Home?
The LSU Tigers take on the Texas A&M with a 8-3 record, including 2-3 on the road and 5-0 at home.
So far, LSU has been favored nine times and the underdog in one game. This has led to an ATS record of 6-4 and an average scoring differential of +19.3.
LSU has an over/under record of 9-1 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 74.4 points with the average over/under line being 61.9 points.
On offense, the Tigers come in with the 55th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 343.4 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 63rd in terms of attempts.
Coming into their matchup vs. Texas A&M, the LSU defense is 113th in points allowed, giving up 27.5 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 241.4 passing yards per game against them (130th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 171.3 rushing yards, which ranks them 123rd in college football.