The Aggies and Crimson Tide are set to face off at 12:00 ET on ESPN. The Crimson Tide will host the game at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL. This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 159.5 points, and Alabama is favored to win by -8.5 at home vs. Texas A&M.


The Pick: Texas A&M Aggies +8.5

This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum at 12:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Crimson Tide.
  • Even though we have Alabama winning straight-up, we like Texas A&M at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 159.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Taking a Look at the Aggies Chances on the Road

Today, Texas A&M heads to Alabama as 8.5-point underdogs. So far this year, they have gone 15-9 and 6-5 in SEC play. On the road, the Aggies are 5-5, compared to 10-4 at home.

Over their last 10 games on the road, Texas A&M has gone 5-5, and they are 2-3 in their last five games away from home. In their most recent game, they lost to Vanderbilt by a score of 74-73.

As the underdog, Texas A&M has gone 4-2 vs. the spread this season and their overall ATS mark is 11-13. On the road, the Aggies are 5-5 vs. the spread and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for Texas A&M games is 13-11, and the average scoring total in their games is 142.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 159.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (143.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 146 points.

In their recent matchup, the Texas A&M offense ended with 73 points against Vanderbilt. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 51.1% and made 8 threes. On offense, Texas A&M has been struggling with their efficiency, coming into today’s game with a field goal percentgage of 40%. So far, they are 27th in free-throws made on a free throw shooting percentage of 70%.

So far, the Aggies’ defense is ranked 85th in the country at 68.2 points per contest. The Texas A&M defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 74 points and allowed Vanderbilt to connect on 7 threes.

Can the Crimson Tide Hold Strong at Home?

Alabama comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 18 of their 24 games this season. Their record as the favorite is 16-2, and they have been dominant at home, going 11-1 this season. At home, the Crimson Tide have won seven straight games, and their average scoring margin at home is +25.2 points per game.

In their last game, Alabama defeated LSU by a score of 109-92. Over their last 10 games at home, the Crimson Tide have gone 9-1, and they are 3-0 in their last three games at home.

When looking at Alabama’s ATS record this season, they are currently 15-9. At home, they are 10-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 3 games at home, they have gone 3-0 ATS. As the favorite, they have gone 13-5 vs. the spread this year and are 9-1 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Alabama’s over/under record for the season sits at 17-7 and the over is 3-0 in their last three games. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 159.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 182 points.

The Alabama offense is coming off a game where they scored 109 points against LSU. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.9% and connected on 18 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Mark Sears, who holds an average of 20.5 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Aaron Estrada is averaging 12.8 points per game this season.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Alabama is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 76.9 points per game (281st). Against LSU in their most recent game, the Alabama defense gave up a total of 92 points while allowing LSU to hit 55% of their shots.