Last Updated: 2016-07-30
We have seen three of the four top seeded players advance to the semi-finals, continuing a trend of consistency that is to be expected throughout the remainder of the year. Milos Raonic losing yesterday does show us the inconsistency that you get in best 2-3 matches but the trend of favorites winning is still exemplified with the # 1 2 and 3 seed advancing. Gael Monfils is playing at a level nobody expected, see analyses below, but don’t get too enthralled with his performance in Canada and Washington D.C. last week. Novak Djokovic will quickly put an end to any excitement surrounding the Frenchman and remains the heavy favorite in the matches he plays through the end of the tournament.
Stan Warwrinka -170 v. Kei Nishikori +140
- This is a very hard matchup to feel confident about; however, all signs point to Stan being the safer pick here. Not only did he demolish Kevin Anderson yesterday, only giving up four games, but Stan is presently the superior player. He has risen to the occasion, winning two grand slams, and does not fear the moment. His strong ground game should make it difficult for Nishikori to compete and Stan’s form, along with groundstrokes, will over-power Nishikori. Nishikori has been playing good tennis and cannot be completely discounted however. Everyone wonders when we will see the 2014 US Open finalist reemerge at that type of level. Kei is an excellent hard court player but he hasn’t lived up the expectations as of late. I do think he wins a slam one day if he can stay healthy but at the present moment it seems Stan is still a stronger player who is playing better tennis. With that being the case you have to give the advantage to Stan.
Novak Djokovic -800 v. Gael Monfils +550
- Monfils enters this tournament having won Washington D.C. a week ago. His game sets up well on the hard courts and some people might be tempted to take a chance on the Frenchmen. I know that it seems like a line at +550 is worth taking and very appealing, especially in light of him winning Washington D.C. last week; however, it would be hard to recommend taking him against Djokovic. Anything is possible especially in a best 2-3 match but Djokovic is the far superior player and he dominates Monfils. Djokovic has quickly regained his form after the third round loss against Sam Querrey at Wimbledon in June and is showing no signs of regressions. Novak holds an 11-0 record against Monfils dating back to 2005. His consistency forces errors from the Frenchmen and he simply has more tools in the bag. Djokovic completely owns Monfils and although the line is fairly high, taking Djokovic is the right play here. Of course as I mentioned before, anything can happen in a match but Monfils does not have the mental or physical game to match up with his far superior opponent.
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