In the sea of divisional clashes in Week 5 of the NFL, we do have one inter-conference game that will be played on Sunday, October 9, and here you can check out the best Titans vs. Commanders betting pick and odds.

Washington is desperate to avoid the fourth consecutive loss when they welcome Tennessee at FedEx Field. The Titans are 2-point favorites on BookMaker Sportsbook, while the total is set at 43 points. These inter-conference rivals haven’t met since 2018, and this will be just the 6th H2H in this century.

Titans beat the Colts on the road

The Tennessee Titans (2-2, 2-2 ATS) lost the first two games of the season but responded with a pair of victories over the Las Vegas Raiders and Indianapolis Colts. The most recent one over the Colts was quite important as it came on the road against the divisional foes. Tennessee took a 14-0 lead in the first quarter and then maintained a lead to secure a W. Although the Colts were better in total yards (365-243) and had more possession, the hosts did commit three turnovers opposite the Titans’ zero.

Ryan Tannehill completed 17 of 21 passes for 137 yards and two touchdowns. Chigoziem Okonkwo and Robert Woods registered a receiving TD apiece, while Derrick Henry was a presence on the ground and had a game-high 114 yards with a touchdown on 22 carries. Denico Autry contributed defensively with a pair of sacks, while Dylan Cole, Roger McCreary, and David Long Jr. had seven tackles each.

WR Treylon Burks (foot), LB Zach Cunningham (elbow), LB Bud Dupree (hip), LB Joseph Jones (knee), and S Amani Hooker (concussion) are all unavailable to play on Sunday against Washington. G Nate Davis (knee) and CB Caleb Farley (knee) are questionable.

Commanders lost the third game in a row

The Washington Commanders (1-3, 1-3 ATS) beat the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1, but lost the following three games, including the latest one to the divisional rivals Dallas Cowboys on the road. Washington did collect more total yards (297-279) and first downs (17-15), but also committed two turnovers opposite Dallas’ zero and lost 25-10 in the end.

Carson Wentz completed 25 of 42 passes for 170 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Jahan Dotson was on the receiving end of that lone TD pass, while the Commanders used their run offense more and totaled 142 yards on 27 attempts on the ground. Antonio Gibson, Jonathan Williams, and J.D. McKissic had 40+ rushing yards but failed to deliver a touchdown. Defensively, Jonathan Allen and Cole Holcomb chipped in eight tackles apiece.

WR Jahan Dotson (hamstring), LB Milo Eifler (hamstring), T Sam Cosmi (thumb), and S Percy Butler (quad) are out indefinitely. TE Logan Thomas (calf) and LB David Mayo (undisclosed) are questionable to meet the Titans on Sunday.

Trends:

Tennessee:

  • 10-4 ATS in the last 14 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
  • 5-0 ATS in the last five games in October

Washington:

  • 3-8-1 ATS in the last 12 games following an ATS loss
  • 11-23-1 ATS in the last 35 games following a straight-up loss
  • 0-5 ATS in the last five games in October

Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders Pick  

I know that the visitors will be weakened in this game as they miss three linebackers and starting safety, but I still do believe in Derrick Henry on the ground and Ryan Tannehill’s play-action. The Commanders are looking uninspiring at the moment, and those three losses in a row showed that they are not good on each end of the field. Washington is allowing 26.8 ppg to the opponents and 259.8 passing yards per contest, so this will be an opportunity for Tannehill to have 200+ passing yards in this one, although the Titans prefer a run offense. It’s going to be a close encounter, but I am going with Tennessee to get an edge.

Pick: Take the Titans at -2 (-110)

The Total

Expect the Titans to use Henry a lot in this game and control the game clock. Neither team averages more than 18.8 points per game this season, so I don’t expect to see a high-scoring affair. Washington will have a solid chance to hurt Tennessee’s secondary which is allowing 274.0 passing yards per game, and Carson Wentz is surely a better passer than Tannehill. Still, there will be no more than 42 points. Under is 7-3 in the Titans’ last ten games overall; Under is 6-1 in the Commanders’ previous seven home games, while Under is 14-3 in Washington’s last 17 games in October.

Pick: Go Under 44.5 points (-135)