We have two divisional rivalry games on Saturday, January 7, to start the final week of the NFL regular season, and here you can check out the best Titans vs. Jaguars betting pick and odds.

Tennessee and Jacksonville are looking for the win and a playoff spot when they meet at TIAA Bank Field as the winner of this tilt will clinch the AFC South division. The Jaguars are -6.5 favorites on BetOnline Sportsbook, while the total is set at 40 points. These divisional foes faced earlier this season and the Jaguars won 36-22 in Tennessee.

Titans continued to struggle and will likely miss the playoffs

The Tennessee Titans (7-9-0, 8-6-2 ATS) are going through their worst period of the season and that will probably cost them a playoff spot this year. The Titans are on a six-game losing skid and they even failed to score more than 16 points in five of those six defeats. The last two losses came at home; the most recent one was against the Dallas Cowboys 27-13. Tennessee trailed against Dallas since the opening quarter, but the fact that the Titans are playing without several key players on both offense and defense prevented them from displaying a better performance.

Joshua Dobbs completed 20 of 39 passes for 232 yards, one touchdown (the first of his career), and one interception. Robert Woods caught that lone TD pass from Dobbs as he ended with 39 yards on five receptions, while Treylon Burks led the team with 66 yards on four catches. On the ground, Hassan Haskins posted a game-high 40 yards on 12 carries. Defensively, Kevin Byard registered a couple of interceptions, while Monty Rice and Jack Gibbens combined for 23 tackles.

QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle), C Ben Jones (concussion), LB Bud Dupree (chest), LB Zach Cunningham (hip), LB Harold Landry III (ACL), and T Jamarco Jones (triceps) are out indefinitely. DT Denico Autry (biceps), LB Dylan Cole (ankle), DT Jeffery Simmons (ankle), S Amani Hooker (knee), CB Kristian Fulton (groin), and T Nicholas Petit-Frere (ankle) are questionable to play on Saturday against Jacksonville.

Jaguars destroyed the Texans on the road

The Jacksonville Jaguars (8-8-0, 8-7-1 ATS), unlike Tennessee, are playing their best football of the campaign as they are on a four-game winning streak. The Jaguars switched to a higher gear in the final third of the regular season and now are a win away from winning the AFC South and making the playoffs. They return home from a two-game road trip on which the Jags beat the New York Jets and Houston Texans, scoring 50 and allowing just six points in the process. Jacksonville was better offensively in the latest duel with Houston, but the Jaguars also scored a TD from a lone turnover they forced as Tyson Campbell took a 12-yard fumble return to the end zone in a 31-3 victory.

Trevor Lawrence completed 17 of 21 passes for 152 yards and one interception. Marvin Jones Jr. led all the receivers with 61 yards on six receptions, but the run offense didn’t really work for the Jags. Travis Etienne Jr. was impressive on the ground with 108 yards and a touchdown on nine carries, while JaMycal Hasty and Snoop Conner also scored rushing touchdowns. On defense, Foyesade Oluokun led Jacksonville with nine tackles.

Trends:

Tennessee:

  • 0-4-2 ATS in the last six games overall
  • 0-3-1 ATS in the last four vs. AFC rivals

Jacksonville:

  • 4-0 ATS in the last four games overall
  • 5-0-1 ATS in the last six vs. AFC opponents

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick

Tennessee will have RB Derrick Henry back but will still be without No. 1 QB Ryan Tannehill, so the Titans will have to go with Joshua Dobbs under the center. The Titans are missing a lot of starters and are playing their worst football of the season, and I don’t think they will get a win and clinch the division on Saturday. Jacksonville is much better at the moment, and even though Trevor Lawrence failed to throw for a TD pass in his last two games, I am backing him to lead the Jags to a win and a playoff spot. The visitors will try with Henry and run offense as their pass offense is not working, but Jacksonville’s run defense allows 112.8 yards per game to the opposing runners, so I don’t think the visitors will be successful in their intent.

Pick: Take the Jaguars at -4.5 (-130)

The Total

Unlike the Titans, the Jags prefer pass offense over running and will exploit the worst pass defense in the NFL that allows 279.3 yards per contest to the opposing receivers. That’s also one of the reasons I am backing the hosts to win. I am going with Lawrence to throw for 2+ touchdowns here, but I am not sure about Tennessee’s offense, which isn’t good enough to contribute to the Over bet. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 H2H meetings in Jacksonville; Under is 10-3 in the Titans’ previous 13 games overall, while Under is 10-3 in the Jaguars’ last 13 home games.

Pick: Under 42.5 points (-130)