Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Tigers versus the Leathernecks? Tip off is at at 7:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Ford Center in Evansville, IN. This Ohio Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 134.5 points, and Western Illinois is favored to win by -2.5 at home vs. Tennessee State.

TENNESSEE STATE TIGERS VS WESTERN ILLINOIS LEATHERNECKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Western Illinois Leathernecks -2.5

This game will be played at Ford Center at 7:30 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE WESTERN ILLINOIS LEATHERNECKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Leathernecks.
  • Not only will Western Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Tigers Have a Shot at a Road Win?

After defeating Southern Indiana by a score of 78-64, Tennessee State will look to continue their winning ways as they head to Western Illinois as 2.5-point underdogs. On the season, the Tigers have gone 18-14, including an 11-8 mark in Ohio Valley Conference action.

So far, Tennessee State has gone 6-10 on the road, and they come into this game with a three-game losing streak away from home. Over their last 10 road games, the Tigers have gone just 4-6, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is -6.3 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Tennessee State has gone just 3-8 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-11 and they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three road games.

So far this year, the over/under record for Tennessee State games is 12-16. On average, their games have finished with 143.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (144.6). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 156 points.

The Tennessee State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 78 points vs. Southern Indiana. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 5 threes. EJ Bellinger is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 12.1. Meanwhile, Christian Brown also brings a PPG average of 12.6 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Tennessee State defense is giving up an average of 71.3 points per contest. Tennessee State’s three-point defense is currently 31st in the country at 5.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.0% of their shots vs. Tennessee State.

Can the Leathernecks Grab a Win at Home?

Western Illinois enters this game as the favorite, as they have been the favorite in 14 of their 31 games this year, going 11-3 in those games. They have a record of 20-11, including a 13-5 mark in Ohio Valley Conference play.

At home, the Leathernecks have gone 6-5 this season, and they have won their last three games at home. Over their last 10 games at home, they are 6-4.

As the favorite this season, Western Illinois has gone 8-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Leathernecks are 5-5 and their ATS record at home this year is just 3-8. In their last 3 home games, Western Illinois is 1-2 vs. the spread.

Western Illinois’ over/under record this season is 9-17-1 and the average scoring total in their games is 133.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (137.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 3-0.

The Western Illinois offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against SIUE. They posted a field goal percentage of 50% and connected on 8 threes. Offensively, the Leathernecks have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 266th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 191st in percentage and 316th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Western Illinois defense is giving up an average of 65.4 points per contest. Against SIUE in their most recent game, the Western Illinois defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing SIUE to hit 50% of their shots.