The Tigers and Skyhawks are set to face off at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The Skyhawks will host the game at Kathleen and Tom Elam Center in Martin, TN. The over/under for this Ohio Valley conference contest is set at 156 points, with UT Martin being favored by -6.5 at home against Tennessee State.


The Pick: Tennessee State Tigers +6.5

This game will be played at Kathleen and Tom Elam Center at 4:30 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Skyhawks.
  • Even though we have UT Martin winning straight-up, we like Tennessee State at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Tigers Have What it Takes in Martin?

Tennessee State has gone 6-9 on the road this season, and they have lost two straight games away from home. Over their last ten games on the road, the Tigers have gone 4-6.

As the underdog, Tennessee State has gone 3-7 this season. They have been the underdog in 10 of their 30 games.

As the underdog this season, Tennessee State has an ATS record of just 3-7. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-10, including an 0-3 mark in their last 3 road games. Against the spread, the Tigers have gone just 1-4 in their last 5 games as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line of 156 is higher than the average over/under line in Tennessee State’s games this season (144.2). This year, 20 of their games have finished with fewer points than 156. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 147 points.

In their latest game, Tennessee State offense put up 60 points against Little Rock. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.2% and made 4 threes. The top scorer for the Tigers was EJ Bellinger with 15 points, while Kinyon Hodges also chipped in with 12 points.

Tennessee State’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.7 points per game. Tennessee State’s three-point defense is currently 22nd in the country at 5.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.7% of their shots vs. Tennessee State.

Can UT Martin Deliver Being Favored at Home?

UT Martin is 20-10 overall and 13-4 in Ohio Valley Conference play. They are coming off an 80-69 win over Tennessee Tech and have won their last six games. At home, the Skyhawks are 7-3 this season and have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games.

On the year, UT Martin has been favored in 14 of their 30 games, going 11-3 in those contests. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +4.0 points per game.

UT Martin has been a solid team against the spread this season, going 16-10. They have been even better at home, going 5-5 ATS. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Skyhawks are 7-3 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for UT Martin is 10-16 and today’s line of 156 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games of 154.7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 163 points and their OU record in those games is 1-2. So far this year, 17 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line of 156.

The UT Martin offense is coming off a game where they scored 80 points against Tennessee Tech. They posted a field goal percentage of 38.4% and connected on 14 threes. The team’s top scorer is Jordan Sears, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 20.8, while Jacob Crews also maintains a PPG average of 18.8 leading up to the game.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, UT Martin is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 76.1 points per game (275th). The UT Martin defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 69 points and allowed Tennessee Tech to connect on 14 threes.