The Tigers and Redhawks are set to face off at 4:45 ET on ESPN+. The Redhawks will host the game at Show Me Center in Cape Girardeau, MO. Tennessee State is favored by -3.5 in this Ohio Valley conference matchup the against Southeast Missouri State. The over/under for the game is set at 138.5 points.


The Pick: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +3.5

This game will be played at Show Me Center at 4:45 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Redhawks.
  • Not only will Southeast Missouri State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Tennessee State Come Through as Road Favorites?

After a win in their last game, Tennessee State has a record of 14-10 this season. So far, they have gone 7-4 in Ohio Valley Conference play compared to their 7-6 non-conference record. On the road, the Tigers are 5-7 this season, including a 4-6 mark over their last 10 games.

As the favorite, Tennessee State has gone 7-4, and they have been the favorite in 11 of their games this season. Currently, they are riding a two-game winning streak, and over their last three games on the road, they are 3-0.

As the favorite this season, Tennessee State has an ATS record of 6-5 and they are 9-11 overall. On the road, the Tigers have an ATS mark of 5-7 and they are 3-0 in their last three road games vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Tennessee State is 6-4 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Tennessee State games this season (145.9). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and their average scoring total in their last five games is 125 points.

In their recent matchup, the Tennessee State offense ended with 65 points against Lindenwood. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 42.9% and made 6 threes. Leading Tennessee State in scoring vs. Lindenwood was EJ Bellinger with his 13 points. Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. also added 12 points for the Tigers.

At this time, the Tigers’ defense is positioned 123rd in the country, permitting 70.0 points per game. Tennessee State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Lindenwood to just 30% shooting in their most recent game.

Do the Redhawks Have a Shot at a Home Win?

So far this season, Southeast Missouri State has been much better at home than on the road. The Redhawks are 4-5 at home compared to 0-11 on the road. They have lost 11 straight road games, and their average scoring margin on the road is -16.8 points per game.

As the underdog, Southeast Missouri State has gone just 1-14 this season. For the year, they are 8-16, including a 3-8 mark in Ohio Valley Conference games. Most recently, the Redhawks beat Tennessee Tech by a score of 88-69.

As the underdog, Southeast Missouri State has a 4-11 record vs. the spread this season and is just 6-14 overall. However, their ATS mark at home is 3-6 and they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Redhawks have gone 4-6 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Southeast Missouri State games is 7-12-1. On average, their games have finished with 140.2 points per game compared to an average over/under line of 145.3. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 138.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points.

Southeast Missouri State’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Tennessee Tech, finishing the game with a total of 88 points. Their season average is now 67.4 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Rob Martin who comes into today’s matchup averaging 11.1. Josh Earley also heads into the game with a PPG average of 9.7.

On defense, Southeast Missouri State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.6 points per game. Southeast Missouri State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Tennessee Tech offense to knock down 59% of their shots on their way to putting up 69 points.