Tennessee at Kentucky College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


In a battle of two schools that prefer to keep it on the ground, Head Coach Jeremy Pruitt and the Tennessee Volunteers (+2) are taking the field against their in-conference counterpart Kentucky Wildcats (-2) at Kroger Field. The game is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can view the action live on SEC Network.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Betting Odds 11/9/2019

The line for this SEC game is sitting at 2 points in favor of Kentucky. The Volunteers are currently getting +100 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are -120. This SEC matchup should have some live betting possibilities. The over/under has been set at 41.5 points.

With the spread opening at -3 and the total initially set at 41, this matchup’s betting odds have shifted a hair.

The Volunteers are 4-5 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against SEC opponents. The Wildcats are 4-4 SU overall and 2-4 SU in conference play. Each of these teams has rewarded gamblers this year as the Wildcats are up 2.9 units and the Volunteers have gained 1.7 units.

The Volunteers are looking to keep things going following a solid 30-7 victory over UAB last week. the Volunteers completed 16-of-27 passes for 181 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jarrett Guarantano went 13-for-21 for 147 yards, one touchdown and one interception while J.T. Shrout completed three-of-six for 34 yards. Ty Chandler (85 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Jauan Jennings (five receptions, 70 yards) and Dominick Wood-Anderson (three catches, 34 yards) manned the receiving duties.

Kentucky just picked up a 29-7 win over Missouri back in Week 9. The defense allowed the Tigers to rush for 125 yards on 34 attempts. Tyler Badie was a bright spot in the defeat, recording 82 yards on two catches for Missouri. For Kentucky, Lynn Bowden Jr. completed three-of-seven passes for 54 yards. Bowden Jr. (204 rushing yards on 21 attempts, two TDs) and Asim Rose (51 yards on 15 carries, one TD) mounted the ground game in the win while Bryce Oliver (one receptions, 44 yards) and Josh Ali (one catch, nine yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Tennessee has run the ball on 57.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kentucky has a rush percentage of 59.9 percent. The Volunteers have run for 139 yards per game (including 119 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Wildcats are putting up 201 rush yards per contest (199 in conference) and have 15 total rushing TDs.

The Vols have averaged 210 yards through the air overall (212 per game against conference opposition) and have 14 passing TDs so far. The Wildcats have put up 154 pass yards per outing (127.3 against SEC competition) and have seven total pass scores.

Tennessee has allowed opponents to run for an average of 138 yards and throw for 213 yards per game. Kentucky has allowed 174.9 rushing yards per game and 180.5 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Vols have given up an ANY/A of 4.86 to opposing QBs, while the Wildcats are allowing an ANY/A of 4.84.

Guarantano is up to 1,058 passing yards this year. He’s completed 87-of-142 attempts with nine passing touchdowns and five interceptions. Guarantano’s got a 6.09 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 9.00 over the past two games.

Lynn Bowden Jr. has accounted for 171 yards, one TD and zero INTs for Kentucky. His ANY/A stands at 8.00 for the season and 2.96 over his past two outings.

These two teams met last year with the final result being a 24-7 win for Tennessee.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Kentucky Wildcats Free Pick

SU Winner – Kentucky, ATS Winner – Kentucky, O/U – Under


Betting Notes

Kentucky has lost nine fumbles this season while Tennessee has lost five.

The Tennessee defense has 23 sacks on the year while Kentucky has 19.

Tennessee has rushed for 3.2 yards per attempt over its past three games and 3.3 over its last two.

Kentucky has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.5 over its last two.

Over its last three games, Kentucky is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Tennessee’s last game was 49.5. The under cashed in the team’s 30-7 victory over UAB.

Over its last three contests, Tennessee is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Kentucky’s last match was 43.5. The under cashed in that 29-7 triumph over Missouri.

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