Last Updated: 2017-11-08
On Saturday, November 11, 2017, the TCU Horned Frogs travel to Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium to take on the Oklahoma Sooners in this huge Big12 showdown. This is an extremely exciting matchup, as both teams have a chance at the conference title, and so neither can afford to defeat here. The team that wins the conference will likely advance to the national playoffs, so this game will have a playoff feel to it from the start.
Oklahoma looks like they were going to be out of the picture after falling to Iowa State at the beginning of October, but have won the last four games, including an exciting 62-52 victory over Oklahoma State last weekend. Now they are a top five team looking to solidify a place at the big table.
TCU is in the exact same position, with their lone loss only coming to Iowa State as well. With the victory over Oklahoma, they will immediately leap into the national playoff picture.
TCU has gone 6-3 against the spread this season, and has gone 6-3 against Oklahoma against the spread in their last nine games against one another. In the last six meetings between these two teams, Oklahoma is 5-1 straight up, and the total has been under in five of the last seven games between these two teams. However, on the road at Oklahoma, the Horned Frogs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five and the team is 5-1 against the spread overall in their last six games on the road.
This season Oklahoma is 5-4 against the spread. The Sooners are 18-1 straight up in their last 19 games, and have gone 8-1 in their last nine games at home against the spread.
Horned Frogs vs. Sooners
Spread: TCU +7 (-130); Oklahoma -7 (+110) at 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Moneyline: TCU +205; Oklahoma -245
Totals: Over/Under 62.5 (-110)
TCU HORNED FROGS
When most people think of the Horned Frogs it is the offense that comes to mind, but this defense has been absolutely spectacular, allowing just 20 total points over the last four games. This season they are averaging 13.9 points per game allowed and 284.1 yards per game on average.
The defense gets a great deal of pressure on the opposing quarterback, with 28 sacks, but they have only generated 15 total turnovers. Ben Banoqu has 6.5 sacks on the season and 13 different players have at least one sack this season, including seven that have at least 2.0 sacks.
The offense is still quite extraordinary for the at least, as Darren Anderson has been outstanding in the running game, gaining 726 yards and seven touchdowns. He is averaging 6.0 yards per carry, and his backup, Kyle Hicks, has been exceptional as well, gaining 435 yards in limited action with a 5.2 yards per carry average.
The quarterback is Kenny Hill, who is thrown for 2009 yards and 15 touchdowns. He is quite accurate with the ball, completing 68.0 percent of his passes while throwing just five interceptions and 259 attempts.
The Oklahoma offense is just ridiculously good, averaging over 600 yards on average per game. Quarterback Baker Mayfield, who has made himself a Heisman Trophy candidate, has thrown for 3226 yards and 28 touchdowns. He has also demonstrated a great deal of accuracy, completing 71.7 percent of his passes while throwing five interceptions in 272 attempts. TCU is going to have a lot of work to do to keep up with this Oklahoma offense.
No matter how good the defense is, it’s going to be overshadowed by the offense, but this is still a solid group. There are not really any spectacular numbers on the team, as the team has just 19 sacks, six interceptions, and five fumble recoveries. The Sooners defense has not had to deliver much because of how prolific this offense is, but they are going to need at least one or two key stops to keep Oklahoma ahead in this game.
Horned Frogs vs. Sooners Betting Lines
This is absolutely the game of the weekend. It’s going to be how impressive the Sooners offense can be against the defense for TCU, which should make for an incredible matchup. Both of these teams absolutely need this when, and the loser is going to be relegated to a lower bowl game. The trendy thing is to go with the underdog, but Oklahoma is likely the third-best team in the country after Alabama and Clemson. For that reason, take the Sooners and expect the total to go way over 62.5
My Pick: Oklahoma -7 (+110)
Totals: Over 62.5 (-110)