Planning on watching today’s Horned Frogs and Mountaineers game? Catch the action at WVU Coliseum in Morgantown, WV, as the Mountaineers hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. In this Big 12 matchup, TCU is favored by -5.5 vs. West Virginia. The over/under for the game is 152.5 points.

TCU HORNED FROGS VS WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers +5.5

This game will be played at WVU Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.

WHY BET THE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Mountaineers.
  • Not only will West Virginia pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can TCU Deliver Being Favored on the Road?

TCU comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 16 of their 21 games this season. They have gone 19-10 overall, including an 8-8 record in Big 12 play. On the road, TCU is 7-5 this season, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.

After losing to BYU 87-75 in their last game, TCU will look to get back on track. They have lost two in a row and are 2-3 in their last five games on the road. So far this season, TCU has an average scoring margin of +3.2 points per game on the road.

TCU has been solid against the spread this season, going 17-12 overall. When favored, the Horned Frogs have a 12-9 record vs. the spread this year. On the road, TCU is 8-4 ATS and over their last 10 road games, they are 7-3 vs. the spread. In their last three road games, the Horned Frogs have gone 2-1 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for TCU games is 15-14. So far, the average point total in their games is 151.2 compared to an average over/under line of 148.9, resulting in an average margin of 2.2 points. Today’s over/under line is set at 152.5. This year, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

In contrast to their season average of 80.1 points per game, the TCU had a below average performance. They scored 75 points against BYU and had a field goal percentage of 40.8%. On the offensive front, the Horned Frogs have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 84th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 97th in terms of percentage and 272nd in three-pointers made.

At present, the Horned Frogs’ defense is nationally ranked 141st, allowing 71.1 points per game. In their most recent game, the TCU defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as BYU knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 87 points.

Will West Virginia Pull Through as the Underdog Home Team?

West Virginia has a 9-20 record this season, including a 4-11 mark in Big 12 games. They have lost two straight games, and their record at home is 9-11. Over their last ten home games, the Mountaineers have gone 5-5.

So far this season, West Virginia has been the underdog in 20 of their 29 games. As the underdog, they have gone 4-16. In their last game, the Mountaineers lost to Texas Tech by a score of 81-70. This season, they have been the underdog in eight of their games and have gone 5-3.

When looking at West Virginia’s ATS record this season, they are currently 11-17. At home, their ATS mark is 9-11. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mountaineers are 4-6 vs. the spread.

West Virginia’s over/under record this season is 13-14-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 143.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (142.5), and 24 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 156 points.

The West Virginia offense is coming off a game in which they scored 70 points vs. Texas Tech. Overall their field goal percentage was 51% while connecting on 9 threes. The top scorer for the Mountaineers was Jesse Edwards with 18 points, while Raequan Battle also chipped in with 15 points.

Currently, the Mountaineers’ defense holds the 257th rank in the nation, allowing 75.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 9.0 threes per game vs. TCU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.3%.