Looking to win big? The Horned Frogs and Wildcats face off at 12:00 ET on ESPNU. The Wildcats are hosting the game at Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, KS. This Big 12 conference matchup has an over/under of 143 points, and Kansas State is favored to win by -1.5 at home vs. TCU.

TCU HORNED FROGS VS KANSAS STATE WILDCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Kansas State Wildcats -1.5

This game will be played at Bramlage Coliseum at 12:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE KANSAS STATE WILDCATS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Not only will Kansas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Horned Frogs Exceed Expectations on the Road?

TCU comes into this game as a slight underdog, as they have gone 2-3 when not favored this season. Overall, they are 17-7, including a 6-5 mark in Big 12 play.

On the road, the Horned Frogs have gone 6-3, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three road games. For the season, they have a +5.4 average scoring margin on the road.

Against the spread this season, TCU has a mark of 14-10. On the road, they are 6-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Horned Frogs have gone 5-5.

On the season, the over/under record for TCU games is 12-12, and today’s line of 143 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (149.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points, and in their last five games, that number is 157 points. So far this year, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line of 143.

TCU’s offense had a good outing, putting up 81 points against West Virginia. They achieved a 48.4% field goal percentage and went 13/18 from the free-throw line. In terms of offense, the Horned Frogs have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 49th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 115th in percentage and 280th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Horned Frogs’ defense holds the 140th rank in the nation, allowing 70.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, TCU’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.7% this season.

Can the Wildcats Please their Home Crowd?

After a tough 72-66 loss to BYU, Kansas State will look to get back on track as they host TCU. The Wildcats have been great at home this season, going 11-3 compared to 4-6 on the road. So far, they are 11-3 when favored.

Overall, Kansas State is 15-9, including a 5-6 record in Big 12 play. Their average scoring margin at home is +5.9, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 8-2.

Against the spread, Kansas State has an even 12-12 record this season. At home, they are 6-8 vs. the spread, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats are just 4-6.

Today’s over/under line of 143 is right in line with the average over/under line in Kansas State’s games this season (144.2). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, which is the same as today’s OU line.

The Kansas State offense is coming off a game where they scored 66 points against BYU. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.1% and connected on 6 threes. Offensively, the Wildcats have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 296th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 340th in percentage and 183rd in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Wildcats’ defense holds the 96th rank in the nation, allowing 68.9 points per game. In their previous game vs. BYU, the Cougars finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 72 points vs. Kansas State.