The Horned Frogs and Bearcats are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bearcats will host the game at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, OH. This Big 12 conference matchup has an over/under of 151.5 points, and the Bearcats are favored to win at home vs. the Horned Frogs.
TCU HORNED FROGS VS CINCINNATI BEARCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Bearcats -3
This game will be played at Fifth Third Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 16th.
WHY BET THE CINCINNATI BEARCATS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-66 in favor of the Bearcats.
- Not only will Cincinnati pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Can TCU Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?
TCU enters tonight’s game as the underdog, as they have gone 1-1 in their two games as the underdog this season. On the road, the Horned Frogs have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
So far this season, TCU has gone 13-3, including a 2-1 record in Big 12 play. They are coming off a 68-67 win over Houston, giving them a two-game winning streak.
TCU has been solid against the spread this season, going 10-6. They have also been good vs. the spread as the underdog, going 2-0. On the road, the Horned Frogs are 4-1 vs. the spread this year and over their last 10 road games, they are 7-3 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is similar to the average over/under line in TCU games this season (150.1). So far, the over/under record in their games is 8-8. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 149 points. On the season, their games have finished with more points than today’s line in nine of 16 contests.
Compared to their season average of 84 points per game, TCU struggled in their previous game. Against Houston, the Horned Frogs scored 68 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 43.1%. Emanuel Miller led the scoring for the Horned Frogs, contributing 13 points. Additionally, Trevian Tennyson chipped in with 12 points.
The Horned Frogs’ defense is presently ranked 85th nationally, allowing an average of 67.8 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Cincinnati, the TCU defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, TCU made 16 free-throws vs. the Horned Frogs.
Will the Cincinnati Defense Show Up at Home?
After losing their last game to Baylor by a score of 62-59, Cincinnati enters this matchup with a 12-4 record. The Bearcats have gone 1-2 in Big 12 play and are 11-2 in non-conference games. They are 10-1 at home this season, and their average scoring margin is +20.4 points per game.
Over their last 10 games at home, Cincinnati has gone 9-1, and they are 4-1 in their last five. The Bearcats have been favored in 13 of their 16 games this season, going 11-2 in those matchups.
As the favorite this season, Cincinnati has gone just 5-8 vs. the spread. At home, the Bearcats are 5-6 ATS this year and they are just 4-6 ATS as the favorite over their last 10 games.
So far this season, the over/under record for Cincinnati games is 9-7. The average scoring total in their games this year is 145.1 points, which is below the average over/under line of 147.2. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 132 points. Over their last 10 games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their OU record is 5-5 over that span.
In their most recent game, the Cincinnati offense put up just 59 points vs. the Baylor Bears. Overall, they are now averaging 79.4 points per game which is 74th in the country. Daniel Skillings led the team in scoring, putting up 24 points. Additionally, Day Day Thomas contributed 15 points for the Bearcats.
Coming into today’s game, the Cincinnati defense is giving up an average of 65.8 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Baylor, the Bears finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 62 points vs. Cincinnati.