The Horned Frogs and Cougars are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Cougars will host the game at Marriott Center in Provo, UT. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 157.5 points, with BYU being favored by -6.5 at home against TCU.


The Pick: TCU Horned Frogs +6.5

This game will be played at Marriott Center at 9:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-72 in favor of the Cougars.
  • Even though we have BYU winning straight-up, we like TCU at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 157.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Does TCU Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

TCU comes into tonight’s game as a 6.5-point underdog, which is a role they have been in seven times this season. In those games, they have gone 3-4. Overall, the Horned Frogs have gone 19-9 this season, including an 8-7 record in Big 12 play.

On the road, TCU has gone 7-4 this season, and over their last 10 games away from home, they have gone 6-4. Their average scoring margin this season on the road is +4.6 points per game, and they are coming off a 62-54 loss to Baylor.

As the underdog, TCU has an ATS record of 5-2 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-3 and over their last 10 road games, they are 8-2 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for TCU games is 14-14. The average scoring total in their games this year is 150.8 points, which is a little higher than the average OU line of 148.7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points.

Coming off their recent game, the TCU offense tallied 54 points in a matchup against Baylor. Their field goal percentage for the game was 33.3%, and they made 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Jameer Nelson Jr. with 11 points. Emanuel Miller also added 10 points for the Horned Frogs.

On the defensive side, TCU is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 70.5 points per game. The TCU defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 62 points and allowed Baylor to connect on 5 threes.

Can the Cougars Deliver Being Favored at Home?

BYU is 15-2 at home this season, and they enter this game on a four-game win streak at home. They are 19-3 when favored this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +20.4.

Overall, BYU is 20-8, and they have gone 8-7 in Big 12 games. They are 12-1 in non-conference games, and they have a scoring margin of +2.5 on the road.

BYU has an ATS record of 12-5 at home this season and is 15-6-1 vs. the spread as the favorite this year. However, their ATS mark as the favorite over their last 10 games is just 5-4-1.

On the season, the over/under record in BYU games is 13-15 and today’s line of 157.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (150). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.

The BYU offense is coming off a game in which they scored 76 points vs. Kansas. Overall their field goal percentage was 39.3% while connecting on 13 threes. Jaxson Robinson was the leading scorer for the Cougars, putting up 18 points. In addition, Dallin Hall contributed 18 points.

The Cougars’ defense is presently ranked 93rd nationally, allowing an average of 69.2 points per contest. Against Kansas in their most recent game, the BYU defense gave up a total of 68 points while allowing Kansas to hit 39% of their shots.