Planning on watching today’s Horned Frogs and Bears game? Catch the action at Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN2. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 150.5 points, with Baylor being favored by -4.5 at home against TCU.
TCU HORNED FROGS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baylor Bears -4.5
This game will be played at Foster Pavilion at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.
WHY BET THE BAYLOR BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bears.
- Not only will Baylor pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Will the Horned Frogs Exceed Expectations on the Road?
TCU will be looking to build on their 14-5 record when they take on Baylor as 4.5-point underdogs. So far, the Horned Frogs have gone 5-2 on the road, and their average scoring margin in those games is +8.3.
TCU is coming off a win against Oklahoma State, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 6-4. For the season, they have been the underdog three times, and their record in those games is 1-2.
As the underdog, TCU has an ATS record of 2-1 this season and an overall ATS mark of 11-8. On the road, the Horned Frogs are 5-2 vs. the spread and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games ATS as the visitor.
TCU’s over/under record this season sits at 10-9, and the average scoring total in their games is 151.3 points. So far, their average over/under line is 149.6, and today’s line of 150.5 is close to that mark. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.
Against Oklahoma State, the TCU had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 82.5 points per game. They scored 74 points and posted a field goal percentage of 52.6% in the game. The top scorer for the Horned Frogs was Emanuel Miller with 21 points, while Micah Peavy also chipped in with 16 points.
At present, the Horned Frogs’ defense is nationally ranked 92nd, allowing 68.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. Oklahoma State, the Cowboys finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 69 points vs. TCU.
Pressure Builds for Baylor as Home Favorites
After losing their last two games, Baylor will look to get back on track as they host TCU. So far this season, the Bears have been perfect at home, going 11-0.
On the year, Baylor has gone 14-4, including a 3-2 record in Big 12 play. Their average scoring margin at home is +23.6 compared to -2.8 on the road.
As the favorite, Baylor has an ATS record of 9-4 this season and an overall ATS mark of 11-6. At home, the Bears have gone 9-2 vs. the spread and are 8-2 in their last 10 games as the favorite.
On the season, the over/under record for Baylor is 9-8 and today’s line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (149.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.
Coming off their recent game, the Baylor offense tallied 73 points in a matchup against Texas. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.9%, and they made 11 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Ja’Kobe Walter with 22 points. Jalen Bridges also added 17 points for the Bears.
Currently, the Bears’ defense holds the 96th rank in the nation, allowing 69.2 points per game. So far, the Baylor defense is giving up an average of 7.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.7 times per game (456th).