Looking to win big? The Texans and Trailblazers face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Trailblazers are hosting the game at Burns Arena in St. George, UT. Tarleton State is favored by -3.5 in this Western Athletic conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 143.5 points.


The Pick: Utah Tech Trailblazers +3.5

This game will be played at Burns Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 81-68 in favor of the Trailblazers.
  • Not only will Utah Tech pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 149 points.

Do the Texans Have What it Takes in St. George?

With a record of 20-7, Tarleton State is currently on an eight-game win streak. They have gone 13-3 in Western Athletic Conference play, compared to a 7-4 non-conference mark. On the road, the Texans are 8-5 this season, and they have won their last five games away from home.

After defeating California Baptist 82-65, Tarleton State is favored by 3.5 points against Utah Tech. They have gone 9-2 when favored this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -4.2 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Texans have gone 7-3.

As the favorite this season, Tarleton State has an ATS record of 7-4 and an overall mark of 16-8. On the road, the Texans have gone 9-4 vs. the spread and are 3-0 in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Tarleton State is 6-4.

Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Tarleton State’s games this season (137.8). So far, 21 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average of 151 points compared to their season average of 140.3 points per game.

Tarleton State’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 82 points against California Baptist. They had an overall field goal percentage of 56.1% and made 9/12 free throws. The team’s top scorer is Jakorie Smith, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.7, while Lue Williams also carries a PPG average of 13.9 into the game.

So far this season, the Tarleton State defense has been performing well, ranking 67th in the country at 67.6 points allowed per contest. The Tarleton State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 65 points and allowed California Baptist to connect on 9 threes.

Will the Trailblazers Come Through as Home Underdogs?

Utah Tech will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak when they take on Tarleton State. The Trailblazers are 10-17 overall, including a 6-5 record at home. They have gone 5-15 as the underdog this season.

Most recently, Utah Tech lost to UT Arlington by a score of 89-78. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5. On the season, their average scoring margin at home is -0.3 points per game.

Utah Tech’s ATS record for the season is 13-13, but they have been better vs. the spread at home, going 8-3. Over their last 3 home games, the Trailblazers are 3-0 ATS and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. As the underdog this season, Utah Tech has gone 9-11 vs. the spread.

Utah Tech’s over/under record for the season sits at 11-15, and the average scoring in their games is 146.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is lower than their average OU line of 145.4. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

In their latest game, Utah Tech offense put up 78 points against UT Arlington. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 48% and made 9 threes. Aric Demings led the team in scoring, putting up 19 points. Additionally, Jaylen Searles contributed 14 points for the Trailblazers.

Facing Tarleton State, Utah Tech aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 76.3 points allowed per game (268th). In today’s game vs. Tarleton State, the Utah Tech defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Utah Tech made 33 free-throws vs. the Trailblazers.