Looking to win big? The Texans and Vaqueros face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Vaqueros are hosting the game at UTRGV Fieldhouse in Edinburg, TX. The Texans are the favorites in this Western Athletic conference matchup the against the Vaqueros. The over/under for the game is set at 145.5 points.
TARLETON STATE TEXANS VS TEXAS-RIO GRANDE VALLEY VAQUEROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +2.5
This game will be played at UTRGV Fieldhouse at 7:30 ET on Saturday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS-RIO GRANDE VALLEY VAQUEROS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 86-62 in favor of the Vaqueros.
- Not only will Texas-Rio Grande Valley pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.
Are the Texans Ready for a Win at Edinburg?
After winning their last game against Abilene Christian, Tarleton State’s record now stands at 11-6. So far, they have fared much better at home, going 5-1 compared to 3-5 on the road. For the season, they have been the favorite in six games, going 5-1.
On the road, the Texans have gone 3-7 over their last ten games. For the season, their average scoring margin on the road is -10.0 points per game. Currently, they are on a two-game losing streak away from home.
As the favorite this season, Tarleton State has gone 3-3 vs. the spread. On the road, the Texans are 4-4 ATS this year and 4-6 in their last 10 road games.
This season, the over/under record for Tarleton State sits at 8-6, and today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (135.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 137 points. On the year, their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line in five of their 17 games.
In their recent matchup, the Tarleton State offense ended with 79 points against Abilene Christian. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 52.6% and made 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Jakorie Smith with 25 points. Kiandre Gaddy also added 15 points for the Texans.
So far this season, the Tarleton State defense has been performing well, ranking 49th in the country at 65.9 points allowed per contest. In their previous game vs. Abilene Christian, the Wildcats finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 71 points vs. Tarleton State.
Will the Vaqueros Win at Home?
As the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros get set to host the Tarleton State Texans, the team is coming off a 91-73 loss to UT Arlington. The Vaqueros are 6-12 overall and 2-5 in the Western Athletic Conference.
At home, Texas-Rio Grande Valley has gone 3-6 this season, including a 4-6 mark in their last 10 games. So far, the Vaqueros have been the underdog in 14 of their 18 games, going 3-11 in those contests.
As the underdog, Texas-Rio Grande Valley has an ATS record of 8-6 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 4-5. Over their last three home games, the Vaqueros have gone 3-0 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, they have an ATS record of 7-3.
Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is similar to the average over/under line in Texas-Rio Grande Valley’s games this season (152.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.
In their latest game, Texas-Rio Grande Valley offense put up 73 points against UT Arlington. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.9% and made 3 threes. The top scorer for the Vaqueros was Elijah Elliott with 22 points, while J.J. Howard also chipped in with 16 points.
At present, the Vaqueros’ defense is nationally ranked 302nd, allowing 80.2 points per game. Texas-Rio Grande Valley will look once again to perform well on defense, holding UT Arlington to just 40% shooting in their most recent game.