Betting on today’s Texans and Thunderbirds game? Catch the action at America First Events Center in Cedar City, UT, as the Thunderbirds hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. Tarleton State is favored by -2.5 in this Western Athletic conference contest against Southern Utah. The game’s over/under currently sits at 150.5 points.


The Pick: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +2.5

This game will be played at America First Events Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 87-59 in favor of the Thunderbirds.
  • Not only will Southern Utah pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Are the Texans Ready for a Win at Cedar City?

With a record of 21-7, Tarleton State has been on a tear as of late, winning nine straight games. They are 14-3 in Western Athletic Conference play and 9-5 on the road this season.

As the favorite, the Texans are 10-2 this season, and they are 12-2 overall in games where they are favored. They have won six straight games on the road, and their average scoring margin is -3.1 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Tarleton State has an ATS record of 8-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Texans have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 10-4 this year and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Tarleton State games is 16-9 and today’s line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (138). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 152 points.

The Tarleton State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 85 points vs. Utah Tech. Overall their field goal percentage was 46.8% while connecting on 5 threes. The team’s top scorer is Jakorie Smith, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16, while Lue Williams also maintains a PPG average of 13.7 leading up to the game.

The Texans’ defense is presently ranked 68th nationally, allowing an average of 67.9 points per contest. The Tarleton State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 74 points and allowed Utah Tech to connect on 4 threes.

Will Southern Utah Come Through as Home Underdogs?

Despite being just 9-19 on the season, Southern Utah has been a better team at home, going 4-7 compared to 3-12 on the road. They have lost three straight games at home and are just 4-6 in their last 10 games at home.

As the underdog, the Thunderbirds have gone just 3-15 this season. They come into this game on a six-game losing streak and have gone just 4-13 in Western Athletic Conference play.

As the underdog, Southern Utah has gone 12-6 against the spread this season. However, their ATS record at home is just 5-6 and they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Thunderbirds have an ATS mark of 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for Southern Utah games is 14-12. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 151.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is very close to their average OU line of 148.7. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 157 points.

In their latest game, Southern Utah offense put up 68 points against Abilene Christian. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.8% and made 6 threes. Zion Young led the scoring for the Thunderbirds, contributing 19 points. Additionally, Parsa Fallah chipped in with 10 points.

Currently, the Thunderbirds’ defense holds the 294th rank in the nation, allowing 77.6 points per game. The Southern Utah defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed Abilene Christian to connect on 6 threes.