Planning on watching today’s Texans and Wildcats game? Catch the action at Moody Coliseum (Abilene) in Abilene, TX, as the Wildcats hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Western Athletic conference contest is set at 141 points, with Abilene Christian being favored by -1.5 at home against Tarleton State.

TARLETON STATE TEXANS VS ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Abilene Christian Wildcats -1.5

This game will be played at Moody Coliseum (Abilene) at 8:00 ET on Thursday, February 1st.

WHY BET THE ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 87-61 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Not only will Abilene Christian pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Can The Texans Secure a Road Victory?

So far this season, Tarleton State has gone 13-7, including a 6-3 record in Western Athletic Conference play. The Texans have been better at home, going 6-2 compared to 4-5 on the road.

As the underdog, Tarleton State has gone just 3-5 this season, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 road games. In their most recent game, they beat Utah Tech by a score of 86-68.

As the underdog this season, Tarleton State has an ATS record of 4-4, and their overall ATS mark is 9-8. On the road, the Texans have gone 5-4 vs. the spread this year and are 3-2 ATS in their last five road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Tarleton State has an ATS record of 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 141 is similar to the average over/under line in Tarleton State’s games this season (137.1). So far, their over/under record is 10-7. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 148 points compared to their season average of 137.2 points per game.

Tarleton State’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 86 points vs. Utah Tech. Overall, they hit 50.9% of their shots from the field and went 21/22 from the free-throw line. Jakorie Smith is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Lue Williams brings a PPG average of 12.5 into the game.

Tarleton State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 58th nationally, with 66.7 points allowed per game. So far, the Tarleton State defense is giving up an average of 8.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.8 times per game (472nd).

Do the Wildcats Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Abilene Christian comes into this game as a 1.5-point favorite, and they have gone 3-3 in their six games as the favorite this season. The Wildcats have struggled on the road this year, going just 3-7, and they are currently on a six-game losing streak away from home.

For the season, Abilene Christian has an overall record of 8-12, and they are 4-4 at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +1.8, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5.

Abilene Christian has an ATS record of 9-9 this season. At home, they are 3-5 vs. the spread. As the favorite, they are 2-4 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats have gone 3-6-1 vs. the spread.

Abilene Christian’s over/under record this season is 10-7-1 and today’s line of 141 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 146.2. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3.

Compared to their season average of 75 points per game, Abilene Christian struggled in their previous game. Against Southern Utah, the Wildcats scored 67 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 42.6%. Leading the team in scoring is Ali Abdou Dibba, who is averaging 15.3 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Airion Simmons also maintains a PPG average of 13.6 heading into game.

At present, the Wildcats’ defense is nationally ranked 238th, allowing 75.4 points per game. So far, the Abilene Christian defense is giving up an average of 8.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.9 times per game (651st).