Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Diego Padres Betting Pick 08/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-13

Tommy Pham and the Tampa Bay Rays will be hitting the diamond against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will broadcast this interleague matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays at San Diego Padres Odds

Each team is getting identical -105 moneyline odds and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. There’s a runline of Rays -1.5 (+140) and Padres +1.5 (-160) for this matchup.

The Rays are 70-50 SU and have gone 62-57 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 1.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.4 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 55-63 SU and 54-63 ATS. They’ve lost 11.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.9 units ATS.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 56-54-7 in 2019. Tampa Bay has been a decent under bet with a total record of 53-59-7.

Southpaw Brendan McKay is projected to start for the visiting Rays. McKay (2-2, 4.55 ERA) has racked up 33 strikeouts in 29.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Padres are handing the ball to lefty Eric Lauer (6-8, 4.51 ERA), who has 89 punchouts and 31 walks as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Lauer did not register a start against the Rays in 2018.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.45, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.80 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

The San Diego offense has put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .266/.326/.503 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is slashing .281/.328/.442 with 17 home runs, 79 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .265/.335/.481 with 26 homers, 70 RBIs and 67 runs.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.34 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.21 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.09 and a K/9 of 9.30.

Rays hitters have slashed .255/.329/.433 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Tampa Bay’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia. Pham is slashing .266/.365/.440 with 16 home runs, 49 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 steals, while Garcia (.280/.337/.462) has produced 17 homers, 57 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

Tampa Bay Rays at San Diego Padres MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

Tampa Bay has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Diego has 21 XBH over its last five.

The Rays have an OPS of .762 this season and an OPS of .749 against left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .747 overall and .780 against southpaws.

Tampa Bay has posted 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.4 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 17 home runs over their last 10 games.

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