Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Free Pick 05/17/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-17

DJ LeMahieu and the New York Yankees will go for their fourth straight victory as they play host to the Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium. YES Network will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Odds

The Rays have gone 26-15 SU this year and are 25-16 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.6 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 8.7 units ATS. Tampa Bay is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 26-16 SU and 23-19 ATS. They’ve gained 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Yankees games have a 22-19-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Rays have an over/under record of 17-22-2.

Right-hander Ryne Stanek will get the nod for the visiting Rays. Stanek is 0-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees will send lefty CC Sabathia (2-1, 3.26 ERA) to the mound. Sabathia has 23 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.19. Sabathia is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.51, a WHIP of 1.17 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 11.2 K/9. In 13 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 3.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.61.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .219/.282/.400 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Yankees’ batters have been led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is hitting .322/.371/.434 with 46 hits, 21 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Torres is batting .290 with eight homers, 20 RBIs and 22 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 3.0 runs per game and its starters own a 2.42 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 10.37 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.20, along with a WHIP of 0.96.

Rays hitters have slashed .254/.336/.429 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia have led Tampa Bay’s offense. Pham is slashing .283/.399/.428 with five home runs, 18 RBIs, 17 runs and six stolen bases, while Garcia is slashing .296/.358/.519 with seven homers, 17 RBIs and 20 runs scored.

The Rays have gained 5.8 units and are 9-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in two of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 0.4 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

Tampa Bay has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 15 XBH over its last five.

The Rays have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

The Rays have an OPS of .765 this season, including an OPS of .700 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS sits at .765 overall and .669 against lefties.

Tampa Bay has posted 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.

The Yankees have won five of their last six games SU.

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